Statewide opinion polling for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

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Key:
  Ted Cruz
3 states + 3 shared
  John Kasich
1 state
  Donald Trump
32 states + 3 shared
  3 or more candidates statistically tied for the lead
1 state
  No polling data in the past three months or three months before the election
10 states & D.C.
Note: This map reflects the latest opinion polling results, NOT the final actual result of the primaries/caucuses themselves. A map of the primaries' results is located at File:Republican Party presidential primaries results, 2016.svg.
Please note that some states have polls with margins of error that may not be reflected accurately on this map.


This article contains opinion polling by U.S. state for the 2016 Republican Party presidential primaries. The shading for each poll indicates the candidate(s) which are within one margin of error of the poll's leader.

For the significance of the earliest state votes, the Iowa caucuses and the New Hampshire primary, see United States presidential primary – Iowa and New Hampshire. For when any given state votes, see Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016 – Schedule of primaries and caucuses.

Alabama[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 1, 2016 Donald Trump
43.42%
Ted Cruz
21.09%
Marco Rubio
18.66%
Ben Carson 10.24%, John Kasich 4.43%, Jeb Bush 0.46%, Mike Huckabee 0.30%, Rand Paul 0.22%, Chris Christie 0.10%, Rick Santorum 0.07%, Carly Fiorina 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%
SurveyMonkey[1]

Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 741

February 22–29, 2016 Donald Trump
47%
Ted Cruz
18%
Marco Rubio
14%
Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 9%
Monmouth University[2]

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 450

February 25–28, 2016 Donald Trump
42%
Marco Rubio
19%
Ted Cruz
16%
Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 5%, Undecided 7%
Opinion Savvy[3]

Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 460

February 25–26, 2016 Donald Trump
35.8%
Marco Rubio
23.0%
Ted Cruz
16.2%
Ben Carson 10.5%, John Kasich 7.5%, Undecided 7.0%
Master Image[4]

Margin of error: ± 4.2% Sample size: 1,556

February 24, 2016 Donald Trump
36%
Marco Rubio
19%
Ted Cruz
12%
Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 17%
AL.com[5]

Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 500

December 10–13, 2015 Donald Trump
35%
Ted Cruz
15%
Marco Rubio
12%
Ben Carson 12%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Chris Christie 3%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Lindsey Graham <1%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 2%
Sample size: 1616

September 3, 2015 Donald Trump
38%
Ben Carson
16.7%
Jeb Bush
4.9%
Ted Cruz 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 2.7%, Marco Rubio 2.3%, Carly Fiorina 2.3%, Rand Paul 1.5%, John Kasich 1.3%, Scott Walker 1.1%, Chris Christie 0.9%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, Rick Perry 0.3%, Bobby Jindal 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.1%, unsure 23.2%
News-5/Strategy Research

Margin of error: ± 2%
Sample size: 3500

August 11, 2015 Donald Trump
30%
Jeb Bush
15%
Ben Carson
11%
Marco Rubio 11%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Carly Fiorina 8%, Ted Cruz 7.5%, Scott Walker 3%, Other 5%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 481

August 2–3, 2015 Donald Trump
37.6%
Ben Carson
14.6%
Jeb Bush
11.8%
Mike Huckabee 7.9%, Ted Cruz 4.5%, Scott Walker 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Marco Rubio 2.6%, Rand Paul 2.2%, Bobby Jindal 2.0%, John Kasich 1.4%, Rick Santorum 1.2%, Rick Perry 1.0%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, Carly Fiorina 0.5%, George Pataki 0.0%, Someone else 1.9%, Undecided 3.1%
Cygnal

Margin of error: ± 3.42%
Sample size: 821

July 7–8, 2014 Jeb Bush
19.8%
Ben Carson
12.6%
Rand Paul
10.5%
Chris Christie 8.8%, Rick Perry 7.2%, Ted Cruz 5.6%, Rick Santorum 5.3%, Bobby Jindal 3.9%, Scott Walker 3.6%, Undecided 22.6%

Alaska[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz
Primary date
March 1, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Caucus results March 1, 2016 Ted Cruz
36.37%
Donald Trump
33.64%
Marco Rubio
15.16%
Ben Carson 10.83%, John Kasich 3.99%, Other 0.01%
Alaska Dispatch News/Ivan Moore Research[6]

Margin of error: –
Sample size: 651

January 23, 2016 Donald Trump
27.9%
Ted Cruz
23.8%
Ben Carson
8.5%
Jeb Bush 7.3%, Marco Rubio 6.9%, Chris Christie 3.3%, Rand Paul 3.0%, John Kasich 1.7%, Other 4.1%, Undecided 13.4%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 337

July 31 – August 3, 2014 Ted Cruz
16%
Rand Paul
15%
Mike Huckabee
14%
Chris Christie 12%, Jeb Bush 12%, Sarah Palin 11%, Scott Walker 7%, Paul Ryan 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Someone else/Not sure 4%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 313

May 8–11, 2014 Ted Cruz
15%
Jeb Bush
14%
Chris Christie
14%
Sarah Palin 12%, Rand Paul 11%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Marco Rubio 3%, Someone else/Not sure 11%
Chris Christie
16%
Jeb Bush
15%
Ted Cruz
15%
Rand Paul 14%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Paul Ryan 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Someone else/Not sure 16%
Magellan Strategies

Margin of error: ± 7%
Sample size: 190

April 14, 2014 Ted Cruz
16%
Rand Paul
15%
Jeb Bush
13%
Mike Huckabee 12%, Chris Christie 11%, Marco Rubio 7%, Scott Walker 6%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 19%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.7%
Sample size: 442

January 30 – February 1, 2014 Rand Paul
15%
Ted Cruz
13%
Sarah Palin
13%
Jeb Bush 12%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Chris Christie 10%, Marco Rubio 6%, Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%
Ted Cruz
16%
Jeb Bush
14%
Rand Paul
14%
Mike Huckabee 13%, Chris Christie 9%, Marco Rubio 8%, Paul Ryan 7%, Scott Walker 5%, Someone Else/Undecided 15%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 507

July 25–28, 2013 Rand Paul
18%
Sarah Palin
14%
Chris Christie
13%
Jeb Bush 11%, Marco Rubio 9%, Paul Ryan 9%, Ted Cruz 8%, Rick Santorum 5%, George Zimmerman 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%
Rand Paul
20%
Jeb Bush
15%
Chris Christie
14%
Paul Ryan 14%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Rick Santorum 6%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 537

Feb. 4–5, 2013 Marco Rubio
18%
Mike Huckabee
14%
Rand Paul
12%
Chris Christie 11%, Paul Ryan 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Sarah Palin 9%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Rick Perry 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%

Arizona[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 22, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 22, 2016 Donald Trump
45.95%
Ted Cruz
27.61%
John Kasich
11.59%
Ben Carson 2.39%, Jeb Bush 0.70%, Rand Paul 0.36%, Mike Huckabee 0.21%, Carly Fiorina 0.20%, Chris Christie 0.16%, Rick Santorum 0.08%, Lindsey Graham 0.08%, George Pataki 0.05%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 10[7]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 607

March 20, 2016 Donald Trump
45.8%
Ted Cruz
33.3%
John Kasich
17.1%
Unsure/Undecided 3.8%
Merrill/Westgroup Research[8]

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 300

March 7–11, 2016 Donald Trump
31%
Ted Cruz
19%
John Kasich
10%
Marco Rubio 10%, Unsure/Undecided 30%
MBQF Consulting[9]

Margin of error: ± 3.57%
Sample size: 751

March 8, 2016 Donald Trump
37.3%
Ted Cruz
23.3%
John Kasich
14.6%
Marco Rubio 11.6%, Unsure/Undecided 10.4%, Other 2.8%
MBQF Consulting[10]

Margin of error: ± 3.61%
Sample size: 736

February 22, 2016 Donald Trump
34.8%
Marco Rubio
22.7%
Ted Cruz
14.1%
Ben Carson 7.1%, Unsure/Undecided 21.3%
MBQF Consulting[11]

Margin of error: ± 3.53%
Sample size: 771

January 19, 2016 Donald Trump
38.6%
Ted Cruz
15.6%
Marco Rubio
11.4%
Ben Carson 7.1%, Jeb Bush 7.0%, Chris Christie 3.1%, Carly Fiorina 2.9%, John Kasich 2.9%, Mike Huckabee 1.4%, Rand Paul 0.4%, Unsure/undecided 10%
Behavior Research Center

Margin of error: ± 6.7%
Sample size: 226

October 24 – November 4, 2015 Ben Carson
23%
Donald Trump
21%
Marco Rubio
15%
Jeb Bush 8%, Ted Cruz 5%, All others (Christie, Fiorina, Huckabee, Paul, Kasich) 6%, Not sure yet 22%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 3.4%
Sample size: 844

August 15, 2015 Donald Trump
33.1%
Ben Carson
16.2%
Carly Fiorina
10.8%
Jeb Bush 10.2%, Ted Cruz 8.2%, Marco Rubio 6%, John Kasich 4.2%, Scott Walker 4.1%, Mike Huckabee 3.5%, Rand Paul 1.8%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Perry 0.3%, Rick Santorum 0.2%, Lindsey Graham 0.1%, Bobby Jindal 0.1%, George Pataki 0.1%
Silver Bullet LLC

Margin of error: ± 3.77%
Sample size: 677

August 3, 2015 Donald Trump
33%
Jeb Bush
17%
Scott Walker
13%
Ben Carson 10%, Ted Cruz 5%, John Kasich 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided/Refused 7%
MBQF Consulting

Margin of error: ± 3.56
Sample size: 758

July 29, 2015 Donald Trump
26.5%
Scott Walker 12.6% Jeb Bush 12.1% Ben Carson 8.7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 3.9%, Marco Rubio 3.9%, Rick Perry 2%, Rand Paul 1.7%, Chris Christie 1.7%, Undecided 21%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 300

May 1–3, 2015 Scott Walker
16%
Jeb Bush
14%
Marco Rubio
14%
Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 11%, Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 5%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Rick Perry 2%, Undecided 12%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 403

February 28 – March 2, 2014 Ted Cruz
16%
Rand Paul
14%
Chris Christie
12%
Jeb Bush 11%, Mike Huckabee 11%, Paul Ryan 8%, Scott Walker 8%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Other/Undecided 13%

Arkansas[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 1, 2016 Donald Trump
32.79%
Ted Cruz
30.50%
Marco Rubio
24.80%
Ben Carson 5.72%, John Kasich 3.72%, Mike Huckabee 1.17%, Jeb Bush 0.58%, Rand Paul 0.28%, Chris Christie 0.15%, Carly Fiorina 0.10%, Rick Santorum 0.07%, Lindsey Graham 0.06%, Bobby Jindal 0.04%
SurveyMonkey[1]

Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 542

February 22–29, 2016 Donald Trump
34%
Ted Cruz
27%
Marco Rubio
20%
Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 4%, Undecided 6%
Talk Business/Hendrix[12]

Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 457

February 4, 2016 Ted Cruz
27%
Marco Rubio
23%
Donald Trump
23%
Ben Carson 11%, Carly Fiorina 4%, John Kasich 4%, Jeb Bush 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Don't Know 6%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage

Margin of error: ± 4.7%
Sample size: 428

August 2, 2015 Donald Trump
25.5%
Mike Huckabee
21.4%
Jeb Bush
9.2%
Ted Cruz 8.7%, Ben Carson 8.2%, Scott Walker 4.2%, Rand Paul 3.8%, John Kasich 3.1%, Marco Rubio 2.9%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Rick Perry 1.5%, Carly Fiorina 1.3%, Bobby Jindal 1.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.7%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 2.2%, Undecided 3.2%
Suffolk University

Margin of error: ± 7.5%
Sample size: 171

September 20–23, 2014 Mike Huckabee
39.27%
Rick Perry
8.38%
Ted Cruz
7.33%
Rand Paul 6.28%, Jeb Bush 4.71%, Chris Christie 4.71%, Marco Rubio 4.71%, Paul Ryan 3.14%, Bobby Jindal 2.62%, Rick Santorum 2.09%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 1.57%, Scott Walker 1.57%, John Kasich 1.05%, Other 2.09%, Undecided 10.47%
Mitt Romney
32.75%
Mike Huckabee
29.24%
Ted Cruz
6.43%
Rick Perry 6.43%, Chris Christie 2.92%, Rand Paul 2.92%, Paul Ryan 2.34%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 1.75%, Marco Rubio 1.75%, Jeb Bush 1.17%, Rick Santorum 0.58%, Scott Walker 0.58%, Bobby Jindal 0%, John Kasich 0% Undecided 11.11%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 479

August 1–3, 2014 Mike Huckabee
33%
Ted Cruz
12%
Jeb Bush
10%
Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Scott Walker 6%, Bobby Jindal 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Paul Ryan 3%, Someone else/Not sure 11%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 342

April 25–27, 2014 Mike Huckabee
38%
Ted Cruz
14%
Rand Paul
13%
Jeb Bush 10%, Chris Christie 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Paul Ryan 3%, Cliven Bundy 2%, Someone else/Not sure 10%
Magellan Strategies

Margin of error: ± 3.35%
Sample size: 857

April 14–15, 2014 Mike Huckabee
57%
Rand Paul
9%
Jeb Bush
8%
Chris Christie 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, John Kasich 2%, Scott Walker 1%, Undecided 7%
Polling Company/WomenTrend

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: ?

August 6–7, 2013 Rand Paul
21%
Marco Rubio
17%
Ted Cruz
<10%
Bobby Jindal <10%, Chris Christie <10%, Scott Walker <10%, Other/Undecided <16%

California[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
June 7, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results June 7, 2016 Donald Trump
75.01%
John Kasich
11.41%
Ted Cruz
9.30%
Ben Carson 3.55%, Jim Gilmore 0.72%
Hoover/Golden State Poll [13]

Margin of error: ± %
Sample size: 380

May 4–16, 2016 Donald Trump 66% Ted Cruz
11%
John Kasich
7%
SurveyUSA/KABC/SCNG [14]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 529

April 27–30, 2016 Donald Trump 54% Ted Cruz
20%
John Kasich
16%
Fox News[15]

Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample size: 583

April 18–21, 2016 Donald Trump 49% Ted Cruz
22%
John Kasich
20%
Undecided 7%, None 1%
CBS News/YouGov[16]

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 1012

April 13–15, 2016 Donald Trump 49% Ted Cruz
31%
John Kasich
16%
Undecided 4%
Sextant Strategies & Research/Capitol Weekly[17]

Margin of error: ± %
Sample size: 1165

April 11–14, 2016 Donald Trump 41% Ted Cruz
23%
John Kasich
21%
Undecided 15%
Field[18]

Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample size: 558

March 24–April 4, 2016 Donald Trump 39% Ted Cruz
32%
John Kasich
18%
Other/Undecided 11%
SurveyUSA[19]

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 356

March 30–April 3, 2016 Donald Trump 40% Ted Cruz
32%
John Kasich
17%
Undecided 12%
USC/Los Angeles Times[20]

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 391

March 16–23, 2016 Donald Trump 36% Ted Cruz
35%
John Kasich
14%
Public Policy Institute of California[21]

Margin of error: ± 7.3%
Sample size: 321

March 6–15, 2016 Donald Trump 38% Ted Cruz
27%
John Kasich
14%
Other 11%, Don't Know 9%
Nson[22]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 407

March 9–10, 2016 Donald Trump 38% Ted Cruz
22%
John Kasich
20%
Marco Rubio 10%, Other/Undecided 10%
Smith Johnson Research[23]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 454

March 7–9, 2016 Donald Trump 24.9% Ted Cruz
19.6%
Marco Rubio
17.6%
John Kasich 15.4%, Undecided 22.5%
Field[24]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 325

December 16, 2015–
January 3, 2016
Ted Cruz
25%
Donald Trump
23%
Marco Rubio 13% Ben Carson 9%, Rand Paul 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Chris Christie 3%, John Kasich 1%, Other/Undecided 13%
USC/LA Times/SurveyMonkey

Margin of error: ± 3.0%
Sample size: 674

October 29 – November 3, 2015 Donald Trump
20%
Ben Carson
19%
Marco Rubio 14% Ted Cruz 11%, Carly Fiorina 6%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Undecided 14%
Field Poll

Margin of error: ± 7.0%
Sample size: 214

September 17 – October 4, 2015 Donald Trump
17%
Ben Carson
15%
Carly Fiorina 13% Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Others 3%, undecided 13%
LA Times/USC

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 422

Aug 29 – Sep 8, 2015 Donald Trump
24%
Ben Carson
18%
Ted Cruz 6% Jeb Bush 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Scott Walker 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Others 3%, undecided 20%
Field Poll

Margin of error: ± 7.0%
Sample size: 227

April 23 – May 16, 2015 Jeb Bush
11%
Marco Rubio
11%
Scott Walker
10%
Rand Paul 8%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Chris Christie 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Other 2%, Undecided 31%
Emerson College

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 358

April 2–8, 2015 Jeb Bush
17%
Scott Walker
17%
Ben Carson
15%
Ted Cruz 11%, Rand Paul 8%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Chris Christie 5%, Undecided 20%
Field Poll

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 237

January 26 – February 16, 2015 Scott Walker
18%
Jeb Bush
16%
Rand Paul
10%
Ben Carson 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Other 3%, Undecided 19%

Colorado[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz
Primary date
June 7, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 474

November 11–15, 2015 Ben Carson
25%
Marco Rubio
19%
Donald Trump
17%
Ted Cruz 14%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Jeb Bush 2%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, DK/NA 11%
Suffolk University

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: 205

September 2014 Rand Paul
12.25%
Paul Ryan
10.29%
Chris Christie/Mike Huckabee
8.33%
Scott Walker 7.84%, Marco Rubio 7.35%, Jeb Bush 6.37%, Bobby Jindal 5.88%, Ted Cruz 5.39%, Rick Perry 5.39%, Rick Santorum 2.45%, John Huntsman 1.47%, John Kasich 0.49%,Refused 0.49%, Other 1.96%
Magellan Strategies

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 270

April 14–15, 2014 Rand Paul
17%
Mike Huckabee
16%
Ted Cruz
14%
Chris Christie 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Scott Walker 8%, John Kasich 2%, Undecided 12%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 6.1%
Sample size: 255

March 13–16, 2014 Ted Cruz
17%
Mike Huckabee
15%
Chris Christie
14%
Rand Paul 10%, Paul Ryan 10%, Jeb Bush 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Other/Undecided 11%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample size: 355

December 3–4, 2013 Ted Cruz
18%
Chris Christie
17%
Rand Paul
16%
Marco Rubio 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Scott Walker 6%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Other/Undecided 11%

Connecticut[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
April 26, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results April 26, 2016 Donald Trump
57.87%
John Kasich
28.36%
Ted Cruz
11.71%
Ben Carson 0.81%
Gravis Marketing[25]

Margin of error: ± 3.0%
Sample size: 964

April 23–24, 2016 Donald Trump 54% John Kasich
27%
Ted Cruz
9%
Undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling[26]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 512

April 22–24, 2016 Donald Trump 59% John Kasich
25%
Ted Cruz
13%
Undecided 3%
Quinnipiac University[27]

Margin of error: ± 3.4%
Sample size: 823

April 12–18, 2016 Donald Trump
48%
John Kasich
28%
Ted Cruz
19%
Undecided 5%
Emerson College[28]

Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample size: 354

April 10 – 11, 2016 Donald Trump
50%
John Kasich
26%
Ted Cruz
17%
Undecided 6%, Other 2%
Emerson College

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 445

November 13–16, 2015 Donald Trump
24.7%
Marco Rubio
14.3%
John Kasich
10.4%
Jeb Bush 10.1%, Ben Carson 9.1%, Rand Paul 6.2%, Ted Cruz 6.1%, Carly Fiorina 3.6%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Mike Huckabee 0.4%, George Pataki 0.2%, Lindsey Graham 0.2%, Other 1.6%, Undecided 10.9%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 464

October 7–11, 2015 Donald Trump
34%
Ben Carson
14%
Carly Fiorina
11%
Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 4%, John Kasich 4%, George Pataki 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, DK/NA 9%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 459

March 6–9, 2015 Jeb Bush
18%
Scott Walker
18%
Rand Paul
12%
Chris Christie 11%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 2%, Lindsey Graham 0%, John Kasich 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Other 3%, Wouldn't vote 3%, Undecided 12%

Delaware[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
April 26, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results April 26, 2016 Donald Trump
60.77%
John Kasich
20.35%
Ted Cruz
15.90%
Marco Rubio 0.89%, Jeb Bush 0.83%
Gravis Marketing[29]

Margin of error: ± 3.0%
Sample size: 1,038

April 17–18, 2016 Donald Trump
55%
John Kasich
18%
Ted Cruz
15%
Unsure 12%

District of Columbia[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Marco Rubio
Primary date
March 12, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Convention results March 12, 2016 Marco Rubio
37.30%
John Kasich
35.54%
Donald Trump
13.77%
Ted Cruz 12.36%, Jeb Bush 0.49, Rand Paul 0.42%, Ben Carson 0.11%

Florida[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 15, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 15, 2016 Donald Trump
45.72%
Marco Rubio
27.04%
Ted Cruz
17.14%
John Kasich 6.77%, Jeb Bush 1.84%, Ben Carson 0.90%, Rand Paul 0.19%, Mike Huckabee 0.11%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.05%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%, Jim Gilmore 0.01%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/
Florida Times-Union/
Fox 35[30]

Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 787

March 13, 2016 Donald Trump
44.3%
Marco Rubio
26.2%
Ted Cruz
18.2%
John Kasich 9.7%, Undecided 1.6%
Trafalgar Group[31]

Margin of error: ± 2.58% Sample size: 1500

March 12–13, 2016 Donald Trump
43.94%
Marco Rubio
24.46%
Ted Cruz
19.56%
John Kasich 8.57%, Undecided 3.47%
ARG[32]

Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400

March 11–13, 2016 Donald Trump
49%
Marco Rubio
24%
Ted Cruz
16%
John Kasich 8%, Undecided 3%
Monmouth University[33]

Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 405

March 11–13, 2016 Donald Trump
44%
Marco Rubio
27%
Ted Cruz
17%
John Kasich 9%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%
Quinnipiac University[34]

Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 615

March 8–13, 2016 Donald Trump
46%
Marco Rubio
22%
Ted Cruz
14%
John Kasich 10%, Other 1%, No Preference 6%
CBS News/YouGov[35]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 827

March 9–11, 2016 Donald Trump
44%
Ted Cruz
24%
Marco Rubio
21%
John Kasich 9%, No Preference 2%
Florida Atlantic University[36]

Margin of error: ± 3% Sample size: 852

March 8–11, 2016 Donald Trump
44%
Marco Rubio
21%
Ted Cruz
21%
John Kasich 9%, Undecided 5%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[37]

Margin of error: ± 4.3% Sample size: 511

March 4–10, 2016 Donald Trump
43%
Marco Rubio
22%
Ted Cruz
21%
John Kasich 9%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/
Florida Times-Union/
Fox 35[38]

Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 590

March 9, 2016 Donald Trump
42.8%
Marco Rubio
23.5%
Ted Cruz
20.9%
John Kasich 10.4%, Undecided 2.5%
Trafalgar Group[39]

Margin of error: ± 2.83% Sample size: 1280

March 8–9, 2016 Donald Trump
41.87%
Marco Rubio
23.10%
Ted Cruz
21.43%
John Kasich 10.94%, Undecided 2.67%
Suffolk University/Boston Globe[40]

Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500

March 7–9, 2016 Donald Trump
35.6%
Marco Rubio
26.6%
Ted Cruz
19.2%
John Kasich 9.8%, Undecided 7.6%, Other 1.2%
The Ledger/10 News WTSP[41]

Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 700

March 7–9, 2016 Donald Trump
36%
Marco Rubio
30%
Ted Cruz
17%
John Kasich 8%
Public Policy Polling[42]

Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 904

March 7–8, 2016 Donald Trump
42%
Marco Rubio
32%
Ted Cruz
14%
John Kasich 8%, Undecided 5%
Fox News[43]

Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 813

March 5–8, 2016 Donald Trump
43%
Marco Rubio
20%
Ted Cruz
16%
John Kasich 10%, Undecided 6%, Other 5%
University of North Florida[44]

Margin of error: ± 3.57% Sample size: 752

March 2–7, 2016 Donald Trump
35.5%
Marco Rubio
23.8%
Ted Cruz
15.5%
John Kasich 8.8%, Undecided 14.3%, Other 2.6%
Quinnipiac University[45]

Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 657

March 2–7, 2016 Donald Trump
45%
Marco Rubio
22%
Ted Cruz
18%
John Kasich 8%, Undecided 6%, Other 1%
SurveyUSA/Bay News 9/News 13[46]

Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 937

March 4–6, 2016 Donald Trump
42%
Marco Rubio
22%
Ted Cruz
17%
John Kasich 10%, Undecided 5%, Other 3%
Monmouth University[47]

Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 403

March 3–6, 2016 Donald Trump
38%
Marco Rubio
30%
Ted Cruz
17%
John Kasich 10%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 5%
CNN/ORC[48]

Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 313

March 2–6, 2016 Donald Trump
40%
Marco Rubio
24%
Ted Cruz
19%
John Kasich 5%
Univision/Washington Post[49]

Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 450

March 2–5, 2016 Donald Trump
38%
Marco Rubio
31%
Ted Cruz
19%
John Kasich 4%, Don't Know 6%, Other 1%
Our Principles PAC[50][51]

Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 800

February 29 – March 2, 2016 Donald Trump
35.4%
Marco Rubio
30.3%
Ted Cruz
15.5%
John Kasich 8.5%, Ben Carson 4.6%, Undecided 5.6%
Public Policy Polling[52]

Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 464

February 24–25, 2016 Donald Trump
45%
Marco Rubio
25%
Ted Cruz
10%
John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 5%, Undecided 7%
Gravis Marketing/
One America News[53]

Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 751

February 24, 2016 Donald Trump
45%
Marco Rubio
25%
Ted Cruz
15%
John Kasich 10%, Ben Carson 5%
Associated Industries of Florida[54]

Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 600

February 23–24, 2016 Donald Trump
34%
Marco Rubio
27%
Ted Cruz
17%
John Kasich 5%, Ben Carson 5%, Undecided 12%
Quinnipiac
University[55]

Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 705

February 21–24, 2016 Donald Trump
44%
Marco Rubio
28%
Ted Cruz
12%
John Kasich 7%, Ben Carson 4%, Someone else 1%, DK/NA 5%
Florida Southern
College Center[56]

Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 268

January 30-
February 6, 2016
Donald Trump
27.41%
Marco Rubio
20.43%
Ted Cruz
12.35%
Ben Carson 6.04%, Jeb Bush 3.71%, John Kasich 1.61%, Mike Huckabee 0.79%, Chris Christie 0.34%, others 1.17%, Don't Care 25.47%
CBS/YouGov[57]

Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 988

January 18–21, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Ted Cruz
22%
Marco Rubio
18%
Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rand Paul 1%, all others 0%, no preference 1%
Florida Atlantic University[58]

Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 386

January 15–18, 2016 Donald Trump
47.6%
Ted Cruz
16.3%
Marco Rubio
11.1%
Jeb Bush 9.5%, Ben Carson 3.3%, Rand Paul 3.1%, Chris Christie 2.6%, Mike Huckabee 2.6%, John Kasich 2.1%, Carly Fiorina 0.5%, Jim Gilmore 0.2%, Others 0.1%, Undecided 1.1%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Florida Times-Union[59]

Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 838

January 17, 2016 Donald Trump
31%
Ted Cruz
19%
Jeb Bush
13%
Marco Rubio 12%, Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, John Kasich 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 2%
Associated Industries of Florida

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 800

December 16–17, 2015 Donald Trump 29% Ted Cruz 18% Marco Rubio 17% Jeb Bush 10%, Ben Carson 6%, Other 8%, Undecided 12%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 13/Florida Times-Union

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 555

December 16, 2015 Donald Trump 29.7% Ted Cruz 20.4% Marco Rubio 15% Jeb Bush 12.5%, Ben Carson 7.7%, Chris Christie 6.1%, Carly Fiorina 2.7%, Rand Paul 2.6%, John Kasich 0.9%, George Pataki 0.1%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, Undecided 2.2%
St. Pete Polls

Margin of error: ± 1.5%
Sample size: 2,694

December 14–15, 2015 Donald Trump 36% Ted Cruz 22% Marco Rubio 17% Jeb Bush 9%, Ben Carson 6%, Chris Christie 3%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Unsure or someone else 4%
St. Leo University


Sample size: 404

November 29 – December 3, 2015 Donald Trump 30.6% Marco Rubio 15.0% Jeb Bush 14.3% Ben Carson 10.9%, Ted Cruz 10.2%, Rand Paul 5.9%, Chris Christie 4.1%, Carly Fiorina 2.7%, John Kasich 2.0%, Mike Huckabee 1.4%, Rick Santorum 0.7%, Others 0.7%, Undecided 1.4%
Florida Atlantic University

Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample size: 355

November 15–16, 2015 Donald Trump 35.9% Marco Rubio 18.4% Ben Carson 14.5% Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 8.9%, Rand Paul 4.1%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 2.4%, Mike Huckabee 0.4%, Lindsey Graham 0.4%, Chris Christie 0.1%, Others 0.3%, Undecided 1.9%
Florida Times-Union

Margin of error: ± 3.4%
Sample size: 806

November 11, 2015 Donald Trump 22.7% Ben Carson 22.3% Marco Rubio 17.9% Ted Cruz 12.4%, Jeb Bush 10.9%, Carly Fiorina 4.7%, Chris Christie 2.9%, John Kasich 2.8%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Bobby Jindal 0.4%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Undecided 1%
SurveyUSA

Margin of error: ± 3.3%
Sample size: 922

October 28 – November 1, 2015 Donald Trump 37% Ben Carson 17% Marco Rubio 16% Ted Cruz 10%, Jeb Bush 7%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3% Mike Huckabee 1% other 1%, unsure 3%
Viewpoint Florida

Margin of error: ± 2.2%
Sample size: 2047

October 29–30, 2015 Donald Trump 26.81% Marco Rubio 16.28% Ben Carson 15.07% Ted Cruz 12.41%, Jeb Bush 12.07%, Carly Fiorina 4.40%, other 4.67%, unsure 8.29%
Saint Leo University Polling Institute

Margin of error: ± 7.0%
Sample size: 163

October 17–22, 2015 Donald Trump 25.8% Marco Rubio 21.5% Jeb Bush 15.3% Ben Carson 14.7%
UNF

Margin of error: ± 3.87%
Sample size: 627

October 8–13, 2015 Donald Trump 21.7% Ben Carson 19.3% Marco Rubio 14.9% Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 6.8%, Carly Fiorina 6.5%, John Kasich 3.5%, Mike Huckabee 1.4%, Chris Christie 1.3%, Rand Paul <1%, George Pataki <1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Lindsey Graham <1%, Bobby Jindal <1%, Someone else 1.5%, DK 8%, NA 4.1%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 461

September 25 – October 5, 2015 Donald Trump 28% Ben Carson 16% Marco Rubio 14% Jeb Bush 12%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Rand Paul 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, George Pataki 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Would not vote 1%, Someone else 0%, DK/NA 10%
FL Chamber

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: ?

September 16–20, 2015 Donald Trump 25% Marco Rubio 14% Jeb Bush 13% Carly Fiorina 11%, Ben Carson 9%, Ted Cruz 6%
Florida Atlantic Univ.

Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample size: 352

September 17–20, 2015 Donald Trump 31.5% Marco Rubio 19.2% Jeb Bush 11.3% Ben Carson 10.3%, Carly Fiorina 8.3%, Ted Cruz 5.8%, Chris Christie 4.1%, Rand Paul 3.2%, Scott Walker 2%, John Kasich 1.7%, Mike Huckabee 1.4%, Undecided 1.1%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 377

September 11–13, 2015 Donald Trump 28% Ben Carson 17% Jeb Bush 13% Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Carly Fiorina 7%, John Kasich 5%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Scott Walker 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Rand Paul 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 1%
Opinion Savvy

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 498

September 2, 2015 Donald Trump 28.9% Ben Carson 24.5% Jeb Bush 18.6% Marco Rubio 5.6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, John Kasich 2.6%, Ted Cruz 2.5%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Mike Huckabee 2.4%, Scott Walker 1.2%, Bobby Jindal 0.7%, Rand Paul 0.4%, Lindsey Graham 0.3% Rick Santorum 0.1%, Rick Perry 0%, Someone Else 1.4%, undecided 3.5%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 477

August 7–18, 2015 Donald Trump 21% Jeb Bush 17% Ben Carson 11% Marco Rubio 11%, Ted Cruz 7%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Rand Paul 4%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know 8%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 547

August 3, 2015 Donald Trump 26.6% Jeb Bush 26.2% Ben Carson 8.3% Ted Cruz 8.2%, Marco Rubio 6.5%, Scott Walker 5.8%, Mike Huckabee 4.2%, John Kasich 3.1%, Bobby Jindal 2.4%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, Rand Paul 1.8%, Chris Christie 1.2%, Rick Perry 0.7%, George Pataki 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1.3%, Undecided 1.5%
St. Pete

Margin of error: ± 2.2%
Sample size: 1,902

July 18–28, 2015 Donald Trump
26.1%
Jeb Bush 20% Scott Walker 12.2% Marco Rubio 9.7%, Ben Carson 4.5%, Ted Cruz 4.2%, John Kasich 4.1%, Rand Paul 3.3%, Someone else/Unsure 15.9%
Mason-Dixon

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 500

July 20–23, 2015 Jeb Bush
28%
Marco Rubio 16% Scott Walker 13% Donald Trump 11%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Ben Carson 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Rick Perry 0%, Chris Christie 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Undecided 13%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 3.0%
Sample size: 729

June 16–20, 2015 Jeb Bush
27.5%
Marco Rubio
23%
Rand Paul
8.8%
Scott Walker 8.7%, Carly Fiorina 6.2%, Ted Cruz 5.2%, Mike Huckabee 4.5%, Bobby Jindal 2.4%, Lindsey Graham 0.3%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, Unsure 13.3%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 413

June 4–15, 2015 Jeb Bush
20%
Marco Rubio
18%
Scott Walker 9% Ben Carson 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Rick Perry 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Ted Cruz 3%, Donald Trump 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, George Pataki 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone else 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Don't know 13%
Mason-Dixon

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 400

April 14–16, 2015 Marco Rubio
31%
Jeb Bush
30%
Ted Cruz
8%
Rand Paul 7%, Scott Walker 2%, Other 5% Undecided 17%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.7%
Sample size: 428

March 17–28, 2015 Jeb Bush
24%
Scott Walker
15%
Marco Rubio
12%
Ben Carson 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Rick Perry 2%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kaisch 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 3%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 15%
Marco Rubio
21%
Scott Walker
17%
Ben Carson
9%
Ted Cruz 8%, Rand Paul 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Rick Perry 3%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kaisch 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 3%, Wouldn't vote 2% Undecided 20%
Jeb Bush
26%
Marco Rubio
15%
Ben Carson
10%
Ted Cruz 10%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Rick Perry 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, John Kaisch 1%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Someone else 3%, Wouldn't vote 1% Undecided 16%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 425

March 19–22, 2015 Jeb Bush
25%
Scott Walker
17%
Marco Rubio
15%
Ben Carson 12%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Undecided 6%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 513

February 24–25, 2015 Jeb Bush
23%
Scott Walker
22%
Marco Rubio
11%
Mike Huckabee 10%, Ben Carson 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Ted Cruz 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Undecided 12%
Jeb Bush
40%
Marco Rubio
36%
Undecided 24%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 348

January 22 – February 1, 2015 Jeb Bush
30%
Marco Rubio
13%
Mike Huckabee
10%
Mitt Romney 9%, Scott Walker 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 3%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 0%, Undecided 8%
Jeb Bush
32%
Marco Rubio
15%
Mike Huckabee
11%
Scott Walker 9%, Ben Carson 8%, Ted Cruz 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich 0%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 0%, Undecided 8%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 3%
Sample size: 811

November 19–20, 2014 Jeb Bush
33%
Marco Rubio
14%
Ted Cruz
11%
Rand Paul 11%, Chris Christie 6%, Nikki Haley 5%, Paul Ryan 5%, Rick Santorum 3%, Undecided 13%
Jeb Bush
44%
Marco Rubio
34%
Undecided 22%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 451

July 17–21, 2014 Jeb Bush
21%
Marco Rubio
18%
Ted Cruz
10%
Rand Paul 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Rick Perry 5%, Paul Ryan 2%, Scott Walker 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 4%, Undecided 13%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 315

June 6–9, 2014 Jeb Bush
30%
Marco Rubio
14%
Rand Paul
11%
Ted Cruz 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Scott Walker 7%, Paul Ryan 2%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Someone else/Not sure 10%
Marco Rubio
45%
Jeb Bush
41%
Not sure 14%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 501

April 23–28, 2014 Jeb Bush
27%
Rand Paul
14%
Marco Rubio
11%
Chris Christie 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Paul Ryan 6%, Scott Walker 4%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 16%
Magellan Strategies

Margin of error: ± 3.33%
Sample size: 868

April 14–15, 2014 Jeb Bush
38%
Mike Huckabee
11%
Ted Cruz
10%
Rand Paul 10%, Marco Rubio 8%, Chris Christie 7%, Scott Walker 7%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 6%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 586

January 22–27, 2014 Jeb Bush
25%
Marco Rubio
16%
Rand Paul
11%
Chris Christie 9%, Ted Cruz 9%, Paul Ryan 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Other 2%, Wouldn't vote 2%, Undecided 14%
Quinnipiac University

Margin of error: ± 3.8%
Sample size: 668

November 12–17, 2013 Jeb Bush
22%
Marco Rubio
18%
Chris Christie
14%
Ted Cruz 12%, Rand Paul 9%, Paul Ryan 6%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Other 1%, Wouldn't vote 1%, Undecided 12%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 326

March 15–18, 2013 Jeb Bush
30%
Marco Rubio
29%
Rand Paul
11%
Mike Huckabee 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Paul Ryan 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, Susana Martinez 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 6%
Marco Rubio
49%
Jeb Bush
36%
Undecided 15%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.7%
Sample size: 436

January 11–13, 2013 Marco Rubio
31%
Jeb Bush
26%
Mike Huckabee
11%
Chris Christie 7%, Bobby Jindal 5%, Rand Paul 5%, Paul Ryan 5%, Susana Martinez 2%, Rick Perry 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 5%

Georgia[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 1, 2016 Donald Trump
38.81%
Marco Rubio
24.45%
Ted Cruz
23.60%
Ben Carson 6.23%, John Kasich 5.69%, Jeb Bush 0.69%, Rand Paul 0.22%, Mike Huckabee 0.20%, Chris Christie 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Rick Santorum 0.04%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%, George Pataki 0.02%,
SurveyMonkey[1]

Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 1171

February 22–29, 2016 Donald Trump
39%
Ted Cruz
21%
Marco Rubio
20%
Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Undecided 6%
Landmark/RosettaStone[60]

Margin of error: ± 2.6%
Sample size: 1400

February 28, 2016 Donald Trump
39%
Marco Rubio
20%
Ted Cruz
15%
Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 8%, Undecided 9%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[61]

Margin of error: ± 3.7% Sample size: 710

February 27–28, 2016 Donald Trump
32.5%
Marco Rubio
23.2%
Ted Cruz
23.2%
John Kasich 10.7%, Ben Carson 6.1%, Undecided 4.3%
Trafalgar Group[62]

Margin of error: ± 3.14% Sample size: 1350

February 26–28, 2016 Donald Trump
38.6%
Marco Rubio
23.54%
Ted Cruz
20.74%
John Kasich 7.03%, Ben Carson 6.14%, Undecided 3.95%
CBS/YouGov[63]

Margin of error: ± 7% Sample size: 493

February 22–26, 2016 Donald Trump
40%
Ted Cruz
29%
Marco Rubio
22%
Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 2%
ResearchNOW/WABE[64]

Margin of error: ± 4.1% Sample size: 400

February 22–24, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Marco Rubio
18%
Ted Cruz
15%
Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 7%, Undecided 10%
SurveyUSA/TEGNA[65]

Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 684

February 22–23, 2016 Donald Trump
45%
Marco Rubio
19%
Ted Cruz
16%
Ben Carson 8%, John Kasich 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[66]

Margin of error: ± 3.6% Sample size: 745

February 22–23, 2016 Donald Trump
33.6%
Marco Rubio
22.2%
Ted Cruz
20.4%
John Kasich 8.9%, Ben Carson 7.7%, Undecided 7.2%
NBC News/Wall Street
Journal/Marist[67]

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 543

February 18–23, 2016 Donald Trump
30%
Ted Cruz
23%
Marco Rubio
23%
Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 9%
Landmark/RosettaStone[68]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

February 21, 2016 Donald Trump
31.7%
Marco Rubio
22.7%
Ted Cruz
18.7%
Ben Carson 8.1%, John Kasich 7.9%, Undecided 10.9%
Landmark/RosettaStone[69]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

February 4, 2016 Donald Trump
27.3%
Ted Cruz
18.3%
Marco Rubio
18.2%
Ben Carson 7.7%, John Kasich 4.4%, Chris Christie 3.9%, Jeb Bush 3.0%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, Undecided 15.4%
CBS/YouGov[70]

Margin of error: ± 6.2%
Sample size: 494

January 18–21, 2016 Donald Trump
39%
Ted Cruz
29%
Marco Rubio
13%
Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rand Paul 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, No preference 1%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta[71]

Margin of error: ± 3.4% Sample size: 803

January 17, 2016 Donald Trump
33.4%
Ted Cruz
23.4%
Marco Rubio
8.2%
Ben Carson 7.3%, Jeb Bush 7.1%, John Kasich 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.7%, Carly Fiorina 3.5%, Rand Paul 3.5%, Mike Huckabee 3.2%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, Undecided 2.7%
Opinion Savvy/Fox 5 Atlanta

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 538

December 16, 2015 Donald Trump
34.6%
Ted Cruz 15.8% Marco Rubio 12% Ben Carson 6.4%, Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 5.6%, Carly Fiorina 5.1%, John Kasich 2.3%, Rand Paul 2.1%, Lindsey Graham 1.4%, Mike Huckabee 1.4%, George Pataki 0.5%, Undecided 6.8%
WSB TV/Landmark

Margin of error: ±3.3%
Sample size: 800

December 10, 2015 Donald Trump
43.3%
Ted Cruz 16.2% Marco Rubio 10.6% Ben Carson 6.7%, Jeb Bush 4.8%, Mike Huckabee 1.9%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, John Kasich 1.5%, Rand Paul 0.5%, Undecided 12.9%
FOX 5/Morris News

Margin of error: ±4.7%
Sample size: 674

November 9–10, 2015 Ben Carson
26%
Donald Trump
24%
Ted Cruz 14% Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 8%, Carly Fiorina 6%
WXIA-TV/SurveyUSA

Margin of error: ±2%
Sample size: 2,075

October 26, 2015 Donald Trump
35%
Ben Carson
28%
Marco Rubio 12% Ted Cruz 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 2%
WSB/Landmark

Margin of error: ±4%
Sample size: 600

September 23, 2015 Donald Trump
30.8%
Ben Carson
17.9%
Carly Fiorina 13.2% Marco Rubio 9.4%, Ted Cruz 7.9%, Jeb Bush 7.5%, Mike Huckabee 4.4%, John Kasich 1.9%, Rand Paul 1.1%, Undecided 5.9%
Opinion Savvy

Margin of error: ±3.8%
Sample size: 664

September 3, 2015 Donald Trump
34.2%
Ben Carson
24.8%
Jeb Bush
10.9%
Ted Cruz 6.3%, Mike Huckabee 5.1%, Carly Fiorina 4.5%, John Kasich 2.5%, Marco Rubio 2.1%, Chris Christie 2%, Scott Walker 1.9%, Rick Perry 0.1%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, Bobby Jindal 0.1%, Lindsey Graham 0.1%, Rand Paul 0%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 1.8%, Undecided 3.5%
WSB/Landmark

Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample size: 600

August 5, 2015 Donald Trump
34.3%
Jeb Bush
12.0%
Scott Walker
10.4%
Mike Huckabee 8.1%, Ben Carson 8.1%, Ted Cruz 5.4%, John Kasich 4.5%, Marco Rubio 4.5%, Chris Christie 2.8%, Rand Paul 2.4%, Undecided 7.5%
5 Atlanta/Morris News Service

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 569

August 3, 2015 Donald Trump
30.4%
Jeb Bush
17.3%
Ben Carson
9.6%
Mike Huckabee 6.5%, Ted Cruz 5.9%, Scott Walker 5%, Rand Paul 3.4%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Marco Rubio 3% John Kasich 2.8%, Carly Fiorina 2.5% Rick Perry 2.1% Bobby Jindal 1.7%, Lindsey Graham 0.4%, George Pataki 0.2%, Rick Santorum 0.1%, Other/No opinion 5.9%
Landmark Communications/Rosetta Stone

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 500

May 11–12, 2015 Mike Huckabee
18.3%
Ben Carson
15.4%
Scott Walker
12.6%
Jeb Bush 10.1%, Marco Rubio 9.6%, Ted Cruz 9.3%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 2.6%, Chris Christie 2.2%, Rick Santorum 0.3%, Other/No opinion 15.6%
Insider Advantage

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 200

February 4, 2015 Jeb Bush
21.5%
Scott Walker
17.3%
Mike Huckabee
16.4%
Ben Carson 15.5%, Rick Perry 7.2%, Rand Paul 3.9%, Marco Rubio 3.9%, Chris Christie 3%, Donald Trump 1.9%, Other/No opinion 9.5%

Hawaii[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Caucus date
March 8, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Caucus results March 8, 2016 Donald Trump
42.4%
Ted Cruz
32.7%
Marco Rubio
13.1%
John Kasich 10.6%, Other 1.1%

Idaho[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz
Primary date
March 8, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 8, 2016 Ted Cruz
45.42%
Donald Trump
28.11%
Marco Rubio
15.91%
John Kasich 7.43%, Ben Carson 1.75%, Jeb Bush 0.42%, Rand Paul 0.38%, Mike Huckabee 0.16%, Chris Christie 0.16%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum 0.10%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%
Dan Jones & Associates[72]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 230

February 17–26, 2016 Donald Trump
30%
Ted Cruz
19%
Marco Rubio
16%
Ben Carson 11%, John Kasich 5%, Others 9%, Don't Know 11%
Dan Jones & Associates[73]

Margin of error: ± 3.93%
Sample size: 621

January 21–31, 2016 Donald Trump
31%
Ted Cruz
19%
Ben Carson
13%
Marco Rubio 11%, Others 20%, Don't Know 6%
Dan Jones & Associates[74]

Margin of error: ± 3.99%
Sample size: 604

December 17–29, 2015 Donald Trump
30%
Ben Carson
19%
Ted Cruz
16%
Marco Rubio 10%, Don't Know 10%
Dan Jones & Associates[75]

Margin of error: ± 4.35%
Sample size: 508

August 20–31, 2015 Donald Trump
28%
Ben Carson
15%
Ted Cruz
7%
Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Don't Know 17%
Dan Jones & Associates

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: ?

Published August 9, 2015 Donald Trump
19%
Jeb Bush
10%
all others <10% Don't know 24%
Idaho Politics Weekly

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: ?

June 17, 2015 – July 1, 2015 Jeb Bush
15%
Donald Trump
12%
Rand Paul
10%
Ben Carson 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Someone else 13%, Don't know 23%

Illinois[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 15, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 15, 2016 Donald Trump
38.80%
Ted Cruz
30.23%
John Kasich
19.74%
Marco Rubio 8.74%, Ben Carson 0.79%, Jeb Bush 0.77%, Rand Paul 0.33%, Chris Christie 0.24%, Mike Huckabee 0.19%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, Rick Santorum 0.08%
CBS News/YouGov[35]

Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 770

March 9–11, 2016 Donald Trump
38%
Ted Cruz
34%
John Kasich
16%
Marco Rubio 11%, No Preference 1%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[37]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 421

March 4–10, 2016 Donald Trump
34%
Ted Cruz
25%
John Kasich
21%
Marco Rubio 16%
WeAskAmerica[76]

Margin of error: ± 3.09%
Sample size: 1009

March 7–8, 2016 Donald Trump
32.64%
Ted Cruz
19.9%
John Kasich
18.41%
Marco Rubio 11.34% , Other 1.49%, Undecided 16.22%
Chicago Tribune[77]

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 600

March 2–6, 2016 Donald Trump
32%
Ted Cruz
22%
Marco Rubio
21%
John Kasich 18%, Undecided 7%
WeAskAmerica[78]

Margin of error: ± 3%
Sample size: 1311

February 24, 2016 Donald Trump
38.44%
Marco Rubio
21.21%
Ted Cruz
15.87%
John Kasich 9.31%, Other 4.73%, Undecided 10.45%
Paul Simon Public
Policy Institute[79]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 306

February 15–20, 2016 Donald Trump
28%
Ted Cruz
15%
Marco Rubio
14%
John Kasich 13%, Jeb Bush 8%, Ben Carson 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 15%
Compass Consulting

Margin of error: ± 2.5%
Sample size: 2,104

December 16, 2015 Donald Trump
30%
Ted Cruz
15%
Marco Rubio
13%
Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Chris Christie 6%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 11%
Victory Research

Margin of error: ± 3.46%
Sample size: 801

August 16–18, 2015 Donald Trump
23.3%
Jeb Bush
16.5%
Scott Walker
11%
Ben Carson 5.5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Carly Fiorina 4.6%, Other 16.2%, Undecided 17.9%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 369

July 20–21, 2015 Scott Walker
23%
Donald Trump
18%
Jeb Bush
11%
Chris Christie 8%, Ben Carson 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Mike Huckabee 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Perry 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Undecided 3%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 375

November 22–25, 2013 Chris Christie
18%
Ted Cruz
13%
Jeb Bush
12%
Rand Paul 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Scott Walker 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Other/Undecided 16%

Indiana[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
May 3, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results May 3, 2016 Donald Trump
53.25%
Ted Cruz
36.64%
John Kasich
7.57%
Ben Carson 0.80%, Jeb Bush 0.59%, Marco Rubio 0.47%, Rand Paul 0.39%, Chris Christie 0.16%, Carly Fiorina 0.13%
Gravis Marketing[80]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 379

April 28–29, 2016 Donald Trump
44%
Ted Cruz
27%
John Kasich
9%
Undecided 19%
ARG[81]

Margin of error: ± 4.0%
Sample size: 400

April 27–28, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Ted Cruz
32%
John Kasich
21%
Undecided 6%
NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist[82]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 645

April 26–28, 2016 Donald Trump
49%
Ted Cruz
34%
John Kasich
13%
Undecided 4%
IPFW[83]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

April 13–27, 2016 Ted Cruz
45%
Donald Trump
29%
John Kasich
13%
Undecided 13%
Clout Research[84]

Margin of error: ±4.75%
Sample size: 423

April 27, 2016 Donald Trump 37.1% Ted Cruz
35.2%
John Kasich
16.3%
Undecided 11.4%
CBS News/YouGov[85]

Margin of error: ± 6.6%
Sample size: 548

April 20–22, 2016 Donald Trump 40% Ted Cruz
35%
John Kasich
20%
Undecided 5%
Fox News[86]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 602

April 18–21, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Ted Cruz
33%
John Kasich
16%
Undecided 7%, None 2%
POS/Howey Politics Indiana/WTHR Channel[87]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 507

April 18–21, 2016 Donald Trump
37%
Ted Cruz
31%
John Kasich
22%
Undecided 7%, Other 2%
Bellwether

Margin of error: ± 3.5%
Sample size: 670

December 2–9, 2015 Donald Trump
26%
Ted Cruz
17%
Marco Rubio
17%
Ben Carson 16%, Jeb Bush 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Mike Huckabee 1%, John Kasich 1%

Iowa[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz
Caucus date
February 1, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Caucus results February 1, 2016 Ted Cruz
27.64%
Donald Trump
24.30%
Marco Rubio
23.12%
Ben Carson 9.30%, Rand Paul 4.54%, Jeb Bush 2.80%, Carly Fiorina 1.86%, John Kasich 1.86%, Mike Huckabee 1.79%, Chris Christie 1.76%, Rick Santorum 0.95%, Jim Gilmore 0.01%, Other 0.06%
Emerson College[88]

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 298

January 29–31, 2016 Donald Trump
27.3%
Ted Cruz
25.6%
Marco Rubio
21.6%
Mike Huckabee 4.7%, Jeb Bush 3.8%, John Kasich 3.8%, Rand Paul 3.4%, Ben Carson 3.4%, Chris Christie 3.2%, Carly Fiorina 1.7%, Rick Santorum 0.5%, Undecided 1%
Quinnipiac University[89]

Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 890

January 25–31, 2016 Donald Trump
31%
Ted Cruz
24%
Marco Rubio
17%
Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Not decided 3%
Opinion Savvy[90]

Margin of error: ± 3.2%
Sample size: 887

January 29–30, 2016 Donald Trump
20.1%
Ted Cruz
19.4%
Marco Rubio
18.6%
Ben Carson 9.0%, Rand Paul 8.6%, Jeb Bush 4.9%, Mike Huckabee 4.4%, John Kasich 4.0%, Carly Fiorina 3.8%, Chris Christie 3.0%, Rick Santorum 2.1%, Undecided 2.2%
Des Moines Register/
Bloomberg/Selzer[91]

Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 602

January 26–29, 2016 Donald Trump
28%
Ted Cruz
23%
Marco Rubio
15%
Ben Carson 10%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 3%, Jeb Bush 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gimore 0%, Undecided 2%, Uncommitted 3%
Public Policy Polling[92]

Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 780

January 26–27, 2016 Donald Trump
31%
Ted Cruz
23%
Marco Rubio
14%
Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gimore 1%, Undecided 2%
Gravis Marketing/
One America News[93]

Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 724

January 26–27, 2016 Donald Trump
31%
Ted Cruz
27%
Marco Rubio
13%
Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[94]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 415

January 24–26, 2016 Donald Trump
32%
Ted Cruz
25%
Marco Rubio
18%
Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 4%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Other 0%, Undecided 3%
Monmouth University[95]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

January 23–26, 2016 Donald Trump
30%
Ted Cruz
23%
Marco Rubio
16%
Ben Carson 10%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 0%, Undecided 3%
ARG[96]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 400

January 21–24, 2016 Donald Trump
33%
Ted Cruz
26%
Marco Rubio
11%
Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
Quinnipiac University[97]

Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 651

January 18–24, 2016 Donald Trump
31%
Ted Cruz
29%
Marco Rubio
13%
Ben Carson 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Not decided 2%
ISU/WHO-HD[98]

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: 283

January 5–22, 2016 Ted Cruz
25.8%
Donald Trump
18.9%
Ben Carson
13.4%
Marco Rubio 12.3%, Rand Paul 6.9%, Jeb Bush 3.8%, Mike Huckabee 3.7%, Carly Fiorina 1.1%, Rick Santorum <1%, Chris Christie <1%, John Kasich <1%
Fox News[99]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 378

January 18–21, 2016 Donald Trump
34%
Ted Cruz
23%
Marco Rubio
12%
Ben Carson 7%, Rand Paul 6%, Chris Christie 4%, Jeb Bush 4%, John Kasich 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 1%, Don't Know 2%
CBS/YouGov[100]

Margin of error: ± 5.9%
Sample size: 492

January 18–21, 2016 Donald Trump
39%
Ted Cruz
34%
Marco Rubio
13%
Ben Carson 5%, Rand Paul 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Jeb Bush 1%, John Kasich 1%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, No Preference 0%
Emerson College[101]

Margin of error: ± 5.9%
Sample size: 271

January 18–20, 2016 Donald Trump
33.1%
Ted Cruz
22.8%
Marco Rubio
14.2%
Ben Carson 9.1%, Chris Christie 5.4%, Jeb Bush 5.1%, John Kasich 2.9%, Rand Paul 2.7%, Carly Fiorina 2.1%, Mike Huckabee 1.7%, Undecided 1%
CNN/ORC[102]

Margin of error: ± 6.0%
Sample size: 266

January 15–20, 2016 Donald Trump
37%
Ted Cruz
26%
Marco Rubio
14%
Ben Carson 6%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Chris Christie 1%, John Kasich 1%
Monmouth College/KBUR/Douglas Fulmer & Associates[103]

Margin of error: ± 3.7%
Sample size: 687

January 18–19, 2016 Ted Cruz
27%
Donald Trump
25%
Ben Carson
11%
Marco Rubio 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 3%, John Kasich 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Undecided 4%
Loras College[104]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

January 13–18, 2016 Donald Trump
26%
Ted Cruz
25%
Marco Rubio
13%
Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Undecide 7%
Gravis Marketing/One America News[105]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 422

January 11–12, 2016 Donald Trump
34%
Ted Cruz
28%
Ben Carson
9%
Marco Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 5%, John Kasich 4%, Jeb Bush 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 3%
Public Policy Polling[106]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 530

January 8–10, 2016 Donald Trump
28%
Ted Cruz
26%
Marco Rubio
13%
Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 6%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, John Kasich 3%, Rand Paul 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 2%
DM Register/Bloomberg[107]

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 500

January 7–10, 2016 Ted Cruz
25%
Donald Trump
22%
Marco Rubio
12%
Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, John Kasich 2%, Rick Santorum 1%
ARG[108]

Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 600

January 6–10, 2016 Donald Trump
29%
Ted Cruz
25%
Marco Rubio
10%
Ben Carson 8%, Chris Christie 6%, Rand Paul 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, John Kasich 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
Quinnipiac University[109]

Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 602

January 5–10, 2016 Donald Trump
31%
Ted Cruz
29%
Marco Rubio
15%
Ben Carson 7%, Chris Christie 4%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Rand Paul 2%, John Kasich 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Not decided 5%
Fox News[110]

Margin of error: ± 4.0% Sample size: 504

January 4–7, 2016 Ted Cruz
27%
Donald Trump
23%
Marco Rubio
15%
Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 7%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, John Kasich 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, Other 1%, Undecided 2%
NBC/WSJ/Marist[111]

Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 456

January 2–7, 2016 Ted Cruz
28%
Donald Trump
24%
Marco Rubio
13%
Ben Carson 11%, Rand Paul 5%, Jeb Bush 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, John Kasich 2%, Other 1%, Undecided 3%

Kansas[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz
Caucus date
March 5, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Caucus results March 5, 2016 Ted Cruz
47.50%
Donald Trump
23.35%
Marco Rubio
16.83%
John Kasich 11.07%, Ben Carson 0.74%, Jeb Bush 0.11%, Carly Fiorina 0.05%
Trafalgar Group[112]

Margin of error: ± 2.96%
Sample size: 1,060

March 2–3, 2016 Donald Trump
35.18%
Ted Cruz
29.31%
Marco Rubio
16.56%
John Kasich 12.66%, Undecided 6.29%
Fort Hays State University[113]

Margin of error: ± 5.0%
Sample size: 440

February 26, 2016 Donald Trump
26%
Ted Cruz
14%
Marco Rubio
13%
John Kasich 3%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 2%, Undecided 39%
Suffolk University

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 118

September 27–30, 2014 Jeb Bush
15.36%
Mike Huckabee
14.23%
Chris Christie
8.99%
Ted Cruz 7.87%, Rick Perry 6.74%, Paul Ryan 5.99%, Rand Paul 5.62%, Marco Rubio 5.62%, Scott Walker 3.75%, Rick Santorum 1.5%, Bobby Jindal 1.12%, John Kasich 0.75%, Carly Fiorina 0.37%, Other 4.12%, Undecided/Refused 17.97%
Mitt Romney
33.33%
Jeb Bush
10.5%
Mike Huckabee
10.5%
Ted Cruz 6.85%, Chris Christie 6.39%, Rick Perry 5.02%, Rand Paul 4.57%, Marco Rubio 4.11%, Paul Ryan 2.74%, Scott Walker 2.28%, Rick Santorum 1.83%, Bobby Jindal 1.37%, Carly Fiorina 0.46%, John Kasich 0.46%, Undecided/Refused 9.59%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ±5.1%
Sample size: 375

February 18–20, 2014 Mike Huckabee
20%
Jeb Bush
13%
Chris Christie
13%
Ted Cruz 12%, Rand Paul 11%, Paul Ryan 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 13%

Kentucky[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Caucus date
March 5, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Caucus results March 5, 2016 Donald Trump
35.92%
Ted Cruz
31.57%
Marco Rubio
16.36%
John Kasich 14.42%, Ben Carson 0.85%, Rand Paul 0.38%, Jeb Bush 0.13%, Mike Huckabee 0.08%, Carly Fiorina 0.03%, Chris Christie 0.03%, Rick Santorum 0.01%
Western Kentucky University[114]

Margin of error: ± 4.3%
Sample size: 532

February 22–26, 2016 Donald Trump
35%
Marco Rubio
22%
Ted Cruz
15%
Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 6%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.8%
Sample size: 413

June 18–21, 2015 Rand Paul
19%
Jeb Bush
13%
Donald Trump
12%
Scott Walker 11%, Mike Huckabee 10%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Someone else/Not sure 9%
Courier-Journal/SurveyUSA

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 517

May 5–10, 2015 Rand Paul
26%
Mike Huckabee
15%
Jeb Bush
12%
Scott Walker 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Chris Christie 2%, Rick Perry, 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Other 2%, Undecided 8%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 383

August 7–10, 2014 Rand Paul
25%
Mike Huckabee
18%
Jeb Bush
15%
Chris Christie 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Ted Cruz 7%, Scott Walker 5%, Paul Ryan 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone else/Not sure 6%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.2%
Sample size: 540

December 12–15, 2013 Rand Paul
34%
Jeb Bush
20%
Chris Christie
12%
Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Paul Ryan 5%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Scott Walker 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.5%
Sample size: 320

April 5–7, 2013 Rand Paul
31%
Marco Rubio
17%
Jeb Bush
13%
Chris Christie 10%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Paul Ryan 3%, Rick Perry 2%, Rick Santorum 2%, Susana Martinez 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 16%

Louisiana[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 5, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 5, 2016 Donald Trump
41.45%
Ted Cruz
37.83%
Marco Rubio
11.22%
John Kasich 6.43%, Ben Carson 1.51%, Jeb Bush 0.71%, Rand Paul 0.22%, Mike Huckabee 0.21%, Chris Christie 0.13%, Carly Fiorina 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.06%, Lindsey Graham 0.05%
Gravis Marketing/
One America News[115]

Margin of error: ± 3%
Sample size: 1356

March 3, 2016 Donald Trump
48%
Ted Cruz
31%
Marco Rubio
15%
John Kasich 6%
University of New Orleans[116]

Margin of error: ± 2.26%
Sample size: 1874

March 2, 2016 Donald Trump
38%
Ted Cruz
26%
Marco Rubio
11%
John Kasich 5%, Don't Care 20%
Trafalgar Group[117]

Margin of error: ± 2.73%
Sample size: 1509

March 1–2, 2016 Donald Trump
44.15%
Ted Cruz
25.92%
Marco Rubio
14.84%
Ben Carson 5.72%, John Kasich 5.17%, Undecided 4.2%
Magellan Strategies[118]

Margin of error: ± 3.9%
Sample size: 609

March 1, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Ted Cruz
21%
Marco Rubio
15%
John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 5%
WWL-TV/Advocate

Margin of error: ± 3.46%
Sample size: 800

September 20–23, 2015 Ben Carson
23%
Donald Trump 19% Jeb Bush
10%
Marco Rubio 9%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, John Kasich 3%, Chris Christie 2%, Others 1%, Undecided 13%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 490

August 2, 2015 Donald Trump
28.9%
Jeb Bush
16.6%
Mike Huckabee
9.8%
Ted Cruz 9.4%, Ben Carson 8.4%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Scott Walker 4.3%, Marco Rubio 3.8% John Kasich 2.6%, Chris Christie 2.4%, Rick Perry 2.1%, Carly Fiorina 1.5%, Rand Paul 1%, Lindsey Graham 0.3%, Rick Santourm 0.1%, George Pataki 0%, Someone else 0.8%, Undecided 2.1%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 308

June 26–29, 2014 Ted Cruz
19%
Jeb Bush
17%
Mike Huckabee
17%
Bobby Jindal 12%, Rand Paul 10%, Chris Christie 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 3%, Other/Undecided 8%
Magellan Strategies

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 270

February 6–9, 2014 Jeb Bush
25%
Mike Huckabee
17%
Ted Cruz
13%
Rand Paul 9%, Marco Rubio 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Scott Walker 4%, John Kasich 2% Undecided 13%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 309

February 6–9, 2014 Mike Huckabee
20%
Bobby Jindal
13%
Ted Cruz
12%
Rand Paul 10%, Jeb Bush 9%, Chris Christie 8%, Paul Ryan 8%, Marco Rubio 7%, Scott Walker 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 12%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.9%
Sample size: 274

Aug. 16–19, 2013 Rand Paul
18%
Jeb Bush
17%
Paul Ryan
11%
Chris Christie 10%, Bobby Jindal 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Rick Santorum 5%, Susana Martinez 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 13%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 603

Feb. 8–12, 2013 Marco Rubio
21%
Mike Huckabee
18%
Bobby Jindal
14%
Chris Christie 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Rand Paul 8%, Paul Ryan 7%, Rick Perry 3%, Susana Martinez 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 7%

Maine[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Ted Cruz
Caucus date
March 5, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Caucus results March 5, 2016 Ted Cruz
45.90%
Donald Trump
32.59%
John Kasich
12.19%
Marco Rubio 8.01%, Ben Carson 0.71%, Rand Paul 0.30%, Jeb Bush 0.17%, Carly Fiorina 0.09%, Mike Huckabee 0.05%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ±5.4%
Sample size: 331

November 8–11, 2013 Chris Christie
27%
Ted Cruz
14%
Jeb Bush
12%
Rand Paul 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Rick Santorum 1%, Scott Walker 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 20%

Maryland[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
April 26, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results April 26, 2016 Donald Trump
54.45%
John Kasich
23.03%
Ted Cruz
18.88%
Ben Carson 1.30%, Marco Rubio 0.68%, Jeb Bush 0.56%, Rand Paul 0.34%, Chris Christie 0.27%, Carly Fiorina 0.22%, Mike Huckabee 0.18%, Rick Santorum 0.10%
ARG[119]

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 400

April 21–24, 2016 Donald Trump
55%
John Kasich
21%
Ted Cruz
19%
Undecided 5%
Public Policy Polling[120]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 310

April 15–17, 2016 Donald Trump
43%
John Kasich
29%
Ted Cruz
24%
Undecided 5%
Monmouth University[121]

Margin of error: ± 5.7%
Sample size: 301

April 10–11, 2016 Donald Trump
47%
John Kasich
27%
Ted Cruz
19%
Other 1%, Undecided 7%
TargetPoint/Washington Free Beacon[122]

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: 600

April 8–10, 2016 Donald Trump
33%
Ted Cruz
26%
John Kasich
25%
Undecided 15%, Refused/NA 1%
NBC4/Marist[123]

Margin of error: ± 5.1%
Sample size: 368

April 5–9, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Ted Cruz
29%
John Kasich
24%
Other 1%, Undecided 6%
Washington Post/University of Maryland[124]

Margin of error: ± 7.5%
Sample size: 283

March 30–April 3, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
John Kasich
31%
Ted Cruz
22%
Other 6%
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore[125]

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

March 4–8, 2016 Donald Trump
34%
Ted Cruz
25%
John Kasich
18%
Marco Rubio 14%, Other 1%, Undecided 9%
Gonzales Research[126]

Margin of error: ± 5.8%
Sample size: 301

January 11–16, 2016 Donald Trump
31.9%
Ted Cruz
15.0%
Marco Rubio
13.6%
Ben Carson 9.3%, Chris Christie 8.0%, Jeb Bush 4.0%, Someone else 5.6%, Undecided 12.6%
Baltimore Sun/University of Baltimore

Margin of error: ± 5.6%
Sample size: 307

November 13–17, 2015 Ben Carson
27%
Donald Trump
23%
Marco Rubio
16%
Ted Cruz 10%, John Kasich 4%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Jeb Bush 3%, Mike Huckabee 1%, Rand Paul 1%, Other/Unsure 9%
Baltimore Sun

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 499

February 8–12, 2014 Ben Carson
24%
Jeb Bush
15%
Chris Christie
14%
Rand Paul 14%, Marco Rubio 12%, Undecided/Other 21%

Massachusetts[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 1, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 1, 2016 Donald Trump
48.99%
John Kasich
17.94%
Marco Rubio
17.75%
Ted Cruz 9.50%, Ben Carson 2.57%, Jeb Bush 1.03%, Chris Christie 0.30%, Rand Paul 0.29%, Carly Fiorina 0.18%, Jim Gilmore 0.12%, Mike Huckabee 0.11%, Mike Huckabee 0.08%, George Pataki 0.08%, Rick Santorum 0.05%
Emerson College[127]

Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 408

February 26–28, 2016 Donald Trump
51%
Marco Rubio
20%
John Kasich
14%
Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 1%, Undecided 1%
UMass Amherst/WBZ[128]

Margin of error: ± 6.3% Sample size: 292

February 24–26, 2016 Donald Trump
47%
Marco Rubio
15%
Ted Cruz
15%
John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 2%, Other 7%, Don't Know 3%
Suffolk University[129]

Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500

February 24–26, 2016 Donald Trump
42.6%
Marco Rubio
19.8%
John Kasich
17%
Ted Cruz 8.8%, Ben Carson 3.8%, Other 1%, Don't Know 7%
MassINC/WBUR[130]

Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 386

February 21–23, 2016 Donald Trump
39%
Marco Rubio
18%
John Kasich
17%
Ted Cruz 9%, Ben Carson 5%, Don't Know 12%
Emerson College[131]

Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 289

February 19–21, 2016 Donald Trump
50%
Marco Rubio
16%
John Kasich
13%
Ted Cruz 10%, Ben Carson 2%
Suffolk University

Margin of error: ± ?%
Sample size: 134

November 19–22, 2015 Donald Trump
32%
Marco Rubio
18%
Ted Cruz 10% Jeb Bush 7%, Ben Carson 5%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Chris Christie 4%, John Kasich 2%, Rand Paul 1%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 14%
Emerson College

Margin of error: ± 5.9%
Sample size: 271

October 16–18, 2015 Donald Trump
47.8%
Ben Carson
13.9%
Marco Rubio
11.8%
Jeb Bush 7.1%, Carly Fiorina 6.5%, Ted Cruz 5.1%, John Kasich 2.8%, Chris Christie 2.3%, Lindsey Graham 0.9%, Mike Huckabee 0.4%, Rand Paul 0.1%, Undecided 1.4%
Emerson College

Margin of error: ± ?
Sample size: 216

March 14–19, 2015 Jeb Bush
19%
Scott Walker
19%
Ben Carson
13%
Rand Paul 7%, Chris Christie 6%, Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 3%, Other/Undecided 28%
Suffolk University

Margin of error: ± 4.9%
Sample size: 400

August 21–24, 2014 Chris Christie
11%
Paul Ryan
11%
Jeb Bush
10.75%
Rand Paul 10.5%, Mike Huckabee 7%, Scott Walker 6.75%, Marco Rubio 5.75%, Rick Perry 4.75%, Ted Cruz 4.25%, Bobby Jindal 3.5%, Rick Santorum 2.75%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 1.75%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 18.25%, Other 0.5%, Refused 0.5%
Mitt Romney
48.62%
Chris Christie
7.69%
Paul Ryan
5.54%
Jeb Bush 5.23%, Ted Cruz 3.69%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 3.38%, Bobby Jindal 3.38%, Rand Paul 3.38%, Scott Walker 3.38%, Mike Huckabee 3.08%, Marco Rubio 2.77%, Rick Perry 1.54%, John Kasich 1.23%, Rick Santorum 1.23%, Undecided 4.92%, Refused 0.92%

Michigan[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 8, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 8, 2016 Donald Trump
36.55%
Ted Cruz
24.68%
John Kasich
24.26%
Marco Rubio 9.34%, Ben Carson 1.61%, Jeb Bush 0.81%, Rand Paul 0.29%, Chris Christie 0.24%, Mike Huckabee 0.20%, Rick Santorum 0.13%, Carly Fiorina 0.11%, George Pataki 0.04%, Lindsey Graham 0.03%
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[132]

Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 472

March 7, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
John Kasich
23%
Ted Cruz
18%
Marco Rubio 8%, Ben Carson 3%, Other 1%, Undecided 6%
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[133]

Margin of error: ± 3.8% Sample size: 663

March 6, 2016 Donald Trump
42%
John Kasich
19.6%
Ted Cruz
19.3%
Marco Rubio 9%, Ben Carson 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
Trafalgar Group[134]

Margin of error: ± 2.42% Sample size: 1610

March 5–6, 2016 Donald Trump
40.89%
Ted Cruz
23.26%
John Kasich
23.04%
Marco Rubio 8.34%, Undecided 4.47%
Monmouth University[135]

Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 402

March 3–6, 2016 Donald Trump
36%
Ted Cruz
23%
John Kasich
21%
Marco Rubio 13%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
ARG[136]

Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400

March 4–5, 2016 John Kasich
33%
Donald Trump
31%
Ted Cruz
15%
Marco Rubio 11%, Ben Carson 6%, Other 1%, Undecided 4%
CBS News/YouGov[137]

Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 638

March 2–4, 2016 Donald Trump
39%
Ted Cruz
24%
Marco Rubio
16%
John Kasich 15%, Ben Carson 5%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist[138]

Margin of error: ± 3.3% Sample size: 877

March 1–3, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Ted Cruz
22%
Marco Rubio
17%
John Kasich 13%, Uncommitted 2%, Other 2%, Undecided 5%
Trafalgar Group[139]

Margin of error: ± 2.42% Sample size: 1643

March 2–3, 2016 Donald Trump
41.87%
Ted Cruz
20.45%
John Kasich
18.14%
Marco Rubio 13.79%, Undecided 5.75%
Michigan State University[140]

Margin of error: ± 5.8% Sample size: 262

January 25 – March 3, 2016 Donald Trump
36.1%
Ted Cruz
19.5%
Marco Rubio
18.1%
John Kasich 8.9%, Other 7%
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[141]

Margin of error: ± 3.86% Sample size: 643

March 2, 2016 Donald Trump
42%
Ted Cruz
19%
Marco Rubio
15%
John Kasich 14%, Ben Carson 5%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[142]

Margin of error: ± 3.76% Sample size: 679

March 1, 2016 Donald Trump
39%
Marco Rubio
19%
Ted Cruz
14%
John Kasich 12%, Ben Carson 9%, Other 2%, Undecided 7%
EPIC/MRA[143]

Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400

February 27–29, 2016 Donald Trump
29%
Ted Cruz
19%
Marco Rubio
18%
John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 18%
MRG[144]

Margin of error: ± ?% Sample size: 217

February 22–27, 2016 Donald Trump
33%
Marco Rubio
18%
Ted Cruz
18%
John Kasich 10%, Ben Carson 9%, Other/Undecided 12%
Target Insyght[145]

Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400

February 22–24, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Marco Rubio
17%
Ted Cruz
14%
John Kasich 12%, Ben Carson 8%, Undecided 6%
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[146]

Margin of error: ± 4.57% Sample size: 459

February 23, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Marco Rubio
19%
Ted Cruz
16%
John Kasich 11%, Ben Carson 7%, Other 1%, Undecided 5%
ARG[147]

Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400

February 19–20, 2016 Donald Trump
35%
John Kasich
17%
Ted Cruz/
Marco Rubio
12%
Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 4%, Other 1%, Undecided 10%
Detroit News/WDIV-TV[148]

Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 600

February 14–16, 2016 Donald Trump
25.2%
Ted Cruz
15%
Marco Rubio
11.8%
John Kasich 10.5%, Ben Carson 9%, Jeb Bush 5.3%, Refused 1.9%, Undecided 21.3%
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[149]

Margin of error: ± 4.94% Sample size: 394

February 15, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Ted Cruz
11%
John Kasich
11%
Marco Rubio 10%, Ben Carson 7%, Jeb Bush 5%, Undecided 14%
FOX 2 Detroit/
Mitchell Research[150]

Margin of error: ± 5.39% Sample size: 330

February 4, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Marco Rubio
20%
Ted Cruz
16%
Ben Carson 9%, John Kasich 6%, Jeb Bush 2%, Chris Christie 2%, Someone Else 2%, Not Sure 7%
Target-Insyght/
MIRS/IMP[151]

Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 400

February 2–4, 2016 Donald Trump
35%
Marco Rubio
21%
Ted Cruz
21%
John Kasich 6%, Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, Undecided 4%
Mitchell Research[152]

Margin of error: ± 4.41% Sample size: 493

January 25, 2016 Donald Trump
51%
Ted Cruz
15%
Marco Rubio
12%
Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Someone else 3%, undecided 5%
MRG

Margin of error: ± 4% Sample size: 600

September 9–14, 2015 Ben Carson
24%
Donald Trump
22%
Jeb Bush
8%
Mike Huckabee 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Ted Cruz 3%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 2%, Scott Walker 2%, Rand Paul 2%, Chris Christie 1%, Undecided 21%
Mitchell Poll

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 432

August 10, 2015 Donald Trump
20%
Carly Fiorina
15%
Ben Carson
12%
Jeb Bush 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Ted Cruz 8%, John Kasich 8%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Scott Walker 4%, Rand Paul 2%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 465

June 25–28, 2015 Scott Walker
15%
Jeb Bush
14%
Ben Carson
14%
Donald Trump 14%, Marco Rubio 9%, Mike Huckabee 8%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3%, Rick Santorum 2%, Lindsey Graham 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Bobby Jindal 0%, George Pataki 0%, Some else/Not sure 2%
MIRS

Margin of error: ± 6.5%
Sample size: 366

February 18–20, 2015 Scott Walker
43%
Jeb Bush
19%
Rand Paul
12%
Ben Carson 10%, Chris Christie 3%, Marco Rubio 3%, Rick Santorum 3%, Mike Huckabee 3%
Suffolk University

Margin of error: ± 7%
Sample size: 188

September 6–10, 2014 Jeb Bush
11.17%
Mike Huckabee
11.17%
Marco Rubio
9.57%
Rand Paul 6.91%, Chris Christie 6.38%, Scott Walker 6.38%, Rick Perry 6.38%, Paul Ryan 5.85%, Ted Cruz 5.32%, Rick Santorum 5.32%, Bobby Jindal 2.66%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 2.13%, John Kasich 0.53%, Undecided 17.02%, Refused 2.13%, Other 1.06%
Mitt Romney
39.47%
Jeb Bush
9.87%
Ted Cruz
6.58%
Mike Huckabee 5.26%, Marco Rubio 5.26%, Scott Walker 4.61%, Chris Christie 2.63%, Bobby Jindal 2.63%, Paul Ryan 2.63%, Rick Perry 1.97%, Jon Huntsman, Jr. 1.32%, Rick Santorum 1.32%, Rand Paul 1.32%, John Kasich 0%, Undecided 13.82%, Refused 1.32%
Magellan Strategies

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 270

April 14–15, 2014 Mike Huckabee
24%
Jeb Bush
16%
Rand Paul
15%
Chris Christie 14%, Ted Cruz 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 4%, John Kasich 3%, Undecided 12%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 334

April 3–6, 2014 Rand Paul
16%
Chris Christie
15%
Mike Huckabee
15%
Ted Cruz 11%, Jeb Bush 9%, Paul Ryan 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Marco Rubio 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Someone Else/Undecided 17%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 450

December 5–8, 2013 Rand Paul
18%
Chris Christie
16%
Ted Cruz
15%
Jeb Bush 10%, Marco Rubio 8%,Paul Ryan 7%, Scott Walker 5%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 14%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.4%
Sample size: 334

May 30 – June 2, 2013 Rand Paul
18%
Jeb Bush
16%
Chris Christie
15%
Paul Ryan 12%, Marco Rubio 11%, Ted Cruz 7%, Rick Santorum 6%, Bobby Jindal 4%, Susana Martinez 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%

Minnesota[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Marco Rubio
Primary date
March 1, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 1, 2016 Marco Rubio
36.24%
Ted Cruz
29.04%
Donald Trump
21.42%
Ben Carson 7.37%, John Kasich 5.75%
Star Tribune/Mason-Dixon[153]

Margin of error: ± 6.5%
Sample size: ?

January 18–20, 2016 Marco Rubio
23%
Ted Cruz
21%
Donald Trump
18%
Ben Carson 11%, Jeb Bush 7%, Chris Christie 5%, Other 6%, Undecided 9%
KSTP

Margin of error: ± 4.4%
Sample size: 516

October 29 – November 2, 2015 Donald Trump
26%
Ben Carson 19% Marco Rubio 16% Jeb Bush 9%, Ted Cruz 4%, Carly Fiorina 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Mike Huckabee 2%, others 4%, undecided 13%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.2%
Sample size: 353

July 30 – August 2, 2015 Scott Walker
19%
Donald Trump
18%
Jeb Bush
15%
Ben Carson 11%, Ted Cruz 7%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Marco Rubio 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Carly Fiorina 3%, John Kasich 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, George Pataki 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Undecided 1%
Suffolk University

Margin of error: ± 10%
Sample size: 87

April 24–28, 2014 Jeb Bush
14.94%
Rick Perry
14.94%
Chris Christie
9.20%
Ted Cruz 9.20%, Marco Rubio 8.05%, Rand Paul 5.75%, Ben Carson 4.60%, Rick Santorum 4.60%, Condoleezza Rice 3.45%, Scott Walker 3.45%, Bobby Jindal 2.30%, Sarah Palin 2.30%, Paul Ryan 2.30%, Mike Huckabee 1.15%, Undecided 13.79%

Mississippi[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 8, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 8, 2016 Donald Trump
47.24%
Ted Cruz
36.12%
John Kasich
8.84%
Marco Rubio 5.26%, Ben Carson 1.35%, Jeb Bush 0.41%, Mike Huckabee 0.26%, Rand Paul 0.15%, Rick Santorum 0.12%, Chris Christie 0.12%, Carly Fiorina 0.05%, Lindsey Graham 0.04%, George Pataki 0.03%
Magellan Strategies[154]

Margin of error: ± 3.1%
Sample size: 995

February 29, 2016 Donald Trump
41%
Ted Cruz
17%
Marco Rubio
16%
John Kasich 8%, Ben Carson 5%, Undecided 13%
Opinion Savvy/Insider Advantage

Margin of error: ± 4.6%
Sample size: 444

August 2, 2015 Donald Trump
26.9%
Jeb Bush
20.4%
Ben Carson
9.6%
Ted Cruz 8.7%, Mike Huckabee 8.7%, Scott Walker 7%, Bobby Jindal 3.5%, Marco Rubio 3%, Chris Christie 2.9%, Rand Paul 2%, Carly Fiorina 1.8%, Rick Perry 1.3%, John Kasich 1.3%, Rick Santorum 0.4%, George Pataki 0.3%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Someone else 1.1%, Undecided 1.1%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.7%
Sample size: 434

July 10–13, 2014 Mike Huckabee
25%
Jeb Bush
16%
Ted Cruz
11%
Chris Christie 8%, Rand Paul 6%, Paul Ryan 6%, Marco Rubio 5%, Rick Santorum 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Other/Undecided 16%
Harper Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.1%
Sample size: 570

April 3–5, 2014 Jeb Bush
29%
Chris Christie
12%
Ted Cruz
12%
Rand Paul 11%, Bobby Jindal 8%, Marco Rubio 5%, Scott Walker 5%, Rick Santorum 2%, Undecided 17%
Harper Polling

Margin of error: ± 3.68%
Sample size: 710

December 17–18, 2013 Chris Christie
15.72%
Ted Cruz
15.58%
Rand Paul
14.45%
Paul Ryan 11.61%, Marco Rubio 10.34%, Bobby Jindal 9.49%, Rick Santorum 3.97%, Scott Walker 1.7%, Not sure 17.14%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ±4.8%
Sample size: 422

November 15–17, 2013 Ted Cruz
19%
Chris Christie
17%
Jeb Bush
16%
Rand Paul 12%, Bobby Jindal 8%, Marco Rubio 8%, Rick Santorum 5%, Paul Ryan 4%, Scott Walker 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 10%

Missouri[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
March 15, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results March 15, 2016 Donald Trump
40.84%
Ted Cruz
40.63%
John Kasich
10.10%
Marco Rubio 6.09%, Ben Carson 0.88%, Jeb Bush 0.36%, Mike Huckabee 0.23%, Rand Paul 0.19%, Chris Christie 0.18%, Rick Santorum 0.08%, Carly Fiorina 0.07%
Fort Hayes State University[155]

Margin of error: ± 7%
Sample size: 208

March 3–10, 2016 Donald Trump
36%
Ted Cruz
29%
Marco Rubio
9%
John Kasich 8%, Other 1%, Undecided 17%
Remington Research Group

Margin of error: ± 2.6%
Sample size: 1,528

December 18–19, 2015 Donald Trump
33%
Ted Cruz
23%
Marco Rubio
12%
Ben Carson 8%, Jeb Bush 3%, Chris Christie 3%, Carly Fiorina 2%, Rand Paul 1%, John Kasich 1%, Undecided 14%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: 4.7%
Sample size: 440

August 7–8, 2015 Donald Trump
23%
Ben Carson
11%
Jeb Bush
11%
Mike Huckabee 10%, Ted Cruz 9%, Scott Walker 8%, Carly Fiorina 7%, Marco Rubio 6%, John Kasich 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Chris Christie 1%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Rick Perry 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, George Pataki 0%, Lindsey Graham 0%, Jim Gilmore 0%, Someone else/Undecided 2%

Montana[edit | edit source]

Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results June 7, 2016 Donald Trump
73.72%
Ted Cruz
9.36%
John Kasich
6.85%
Marco Rubio 3.30%, Jeb Bush 2.08%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 3%
Sample size: ?

February 24–25, 2015 Jeb Bush
19.8%
Mike Huckabee
18.8%
Scott Walker
18.8%
Marco Rubio 8.9%, Chris Christie 5%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rand Paul 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Ben Carson 2%, Unsure 15.8%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 4.5%
Sample size: 469

November 15–17, 2013 Ted Cruz
20%
Chris Christie
14%
Rand Paul
14%
Jeb Bush 11%, Paul Ryan 10%, Marco Rubio 8%, Rick Santorum 4%, Bobby Jindal 3%, Scott Walker 2%, Someone Else/Undecided 14%
Public Policy Polling

Margin of error: ± 5.3%
Sample size: 340

June 21–23, 2013 Rand Paul
21%
Jeb Bush
13%
Chris Christie
12%
Ted Cruz 12%, Marco Rubio 10%, Paul Ryan 9%, Bobby Jindal 6%, Susana Martinez 3%, Rick Santorum 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 13%

Nebraska[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Primary date
May 10, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results May 10, 2016 Donald Trump
61.43%
Ted Cruz
18.45%
John Kasich
11.41%
Ben Carson 5.08%, Marco Rubio 3.63%
Harper Polling

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 565

February 3–4, 2014 Rand Paul
13.41%
Paul Ryan
12.85%
Chris Christie
12.66%
Ted Cruz 12.66%, Marco Rubio 8.38%, Scott Walker 8.38%, Bobby Jindal 5.03%, Rick Santorum 4.66%, Undecided 21.97%

Nevada[edit | edit source]

Winner
America Symbol.svg Donald Trump
Caucus date
February 23, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Primary results February 23, 2016 Donald Trump
45.75%
Marco Rubio
23.77%
Ted Cruz
21.30%
Ben Carson 4.79%, John Kasich 3.59%
Gravis Marketing/
One America News Network[156]

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 687

February 14–15, 2016 Donald Trump
39%
Ted Cruz
23%
Marco Rubio
19%
John Kasich 9%, Ben Carson 5%, Jeb Bush 5%
CNN/ORC[157]

Margin of error: ± 6.5%
Sample size: 245

February 10–15, 2016 Donald Trump
45%
Marco Rubio
19%
Ted Cruz
17%
Ben Carson 7%, John Kasich 5%, Jeb Bush 1%, Someone else 2%, No opinion 4%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 406

December 23–27, 2015 Donald Trump
33%
Ted Cruz
20%
Marco Rubio
11%
Ben Carson 6%, Carly Fiorina 5%, Jeb Bush 5%, Chris Christie 5%, Rand Paul 1%, Rick Santorum 1%, John Kasich 0%, Mike Huckabee 0%, Unsure 12%
CNN/ORC[158]

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 285

October 3–10, 2015 Donald Trump
38%
Ben Carson
22%
Carly Fiorina
8%
Marco Rubio 7%, Jeb Bush 6%, Ted Cruz 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rand Paul 2%, Jim Gilmore 1%, Chris Christie 1%, George Pataki 1%, John Kasich 1%, Lindsay Graham 0%, Bobby Jindal 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, None 3%, No opinion 3%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 4%
Sample size: 623

July 12–13, 2015 Donald Trump
28%
Scott Walker
15%
Ben Carson
8%
Jeb Bush 7%, Marco Rubio 5%, Rand Paul 4%, Ted Cruz 4%, Rick Perry 3%, Bobby Jindal 2%, Mike Huckabee 2%, Chris Christie 2%, George Pataki 1%, Carly Fiorina 0%, Lindsay Graham 0%, Rick Santorum 0%, Undecided 20%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 443

March 27, 2015 Ted Cruz
18%
Scott Walker
18%
Jeb Bush
16%
Marco Rubio 7%, Ben Carson 6%, Rand Paul 5%, Chris Christie 4%, Mike Huckabee 4%, Rick Santorum 2%, Carly Fiorina 1%, Undecided 20%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 438

February 21–22, 2015 Scott Walker
27%
Jeb Bush
19%
Chris Christie
8%
Ted Cruz 6%, Mike Huckabee 6%, Rick Perry 6%, Marco Rubio 4%, Rick Santorum 4%, Rand Paul 3%, Bobby Jindal 1%, Undecided 16%
  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 "Trump's Lead Looks Steady in Run-Up to Super Tuesday". SurveyMonkey. Retrieved 1 March 2016. 
  2. "ALABAMA and OKLAHOMA: TRUMP LEADS IN BOTH CLINTON LEADS IN AL, SANDERS IN OK" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. Retrieved 1 March 2016. 
  3. "Alabama Republican Presidential Primary Poll" (PDF). Opinion Savvy. Retrieved 27 February 2016. 
  4. "SEC Primary: Donald Trump Has A 17-Point Lead In New Alabama Poll". Master Image. Retrieved 25 February 2016. 
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