United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016
|Turnout||71.33% 0.79 pp|
Results by county showing number of votes by size and candidates by color
|Elections in Ohio|
The 2016 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on November 8, 2016, as part of the 2016 General Election in which all 50 states plus The District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote pitting the Republican Party's nominee, businessman Donald Trump, and running mate Indiana Governor Mike Pence against Democratic Party nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and her running mate, Virginia Senator Tim Kaine.
Presidential primary elections for three parties were also held in Ohio, concurrently with Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina on March 15, 2016. In the Democratic primary, 143 delegates were awarded proportionally in a modified primary which was won by former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. In the Republican primary, John Kasich, the state's current governor, won all of the state's 66 delegates.
Ohio was won by Donald Trump by a margin of 8.1 points. Prior to the election, most news organizations considered the Buckeye State as leaning Republican, due to his appeal to blue collar voters in the rust belt. Ohio kept its streak of voting for the winner (a bellwether state) since 1964, as it voted for Trump, who won nationally. Having voted Democratic in 2012 and 2008, the win margin was the second largest of the states Trump flipped Red (after Iowa). It is also the largest victory margin since George H.W. Bush defeated Michael Dukakis in 1988. Ohio was an unprecedented 10 points more Republican-leaning than the nation in 2016.
- 1 Primary elections
- 2 Republican National Convention
- 3 General election
- 4 See also
- 5 References
- 6 External links
Primary elections[edit | edit source]
Republican primary[edit | edit source]
Ohio results by county
Results[edit | edit source]
|Ohio Republican primary, March 15, 2016|
|Candidate||Votes||Percentage||Actual delegate count|
|Ben Carson (withdrawn)||14,351||0.72%||0||0||0|
|Jeb Bush (withdrawn)||5,398||0.27%||0||0||0|
|Mike Huckabee (withdrawn)||4,941||0.25%||0||0||0|
|Chris Christie (withdrawn)||2,430||0.12%||0||0||0|
|Carly Fiorina (withdrawn)||2,112||0.11%||0||0||0|
|Rick Santorum (withdrawn)||1,320||0.07%||0||0||0|
|Source: The Green Papers|
Democratic primary[edit | edit source]
Ohio results by county
The Democratic Party's presidential primaries in Ohio were held on March 15, 2016, concurrently with primaries in Florida, Illinois, Missouri and North Carolina. The state's 143 pledged delegates to the 2016 Democratic National Convention were rewarded proportionally according to the statewide vote total. Three candidates appeared on the ballot for the primary – former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton, Senator Bernie Sanders and businessman Rocky De La Fuente.
Background[edit | edit source]
By the time Ohio held its primaries, voters from 21 states and two territories already cast their vote for the presidential nomination of the Democratic Party. As of the March 12 elections, Hillary Clinton was projected to have earned 775 pledged delegates to Bernie Sanders' 552. Clinton gained significant victories in the Southern United States, often described as her "firewall", including landslide victories in Mississippi and Alabama and Georgia. In contrast, Bernie Sanders managed to gain victories in the Midwestern United States, where Ohio resides, including an upset victory in neighboring Michigan on March 8. After the fact, Sanders' campaign took advantage of the momentum gained from the Michigan win, by targeting Illinois, Missouri and Ohio in the March 15 elections, hoping to repeat the same result. Sanders stated that "Not only is Michigan the gateway to the rest of the industrial Midwest, the results there show that we are a national campaign."
Before the Michigan primaries, Clinton and Sanders had debated over economic policies relating to the industrial midwest states and the so-called "rust belt". The disagreements centered around trade deals, including the Trans-Pacific Partnership and Clinton's past support of the North American Free Trade Agreement, and its effect on economies such as Michigan and Ohio.
Controversy[edit | edit source]
Ohio is one of at least seventeen states that has laws allowing voters who are 17 years of age, but will be 18 by the time of the general election, to vote in the presidential primaries. However, Ohio Secretary of State Jon A. Husted had announced in December 2015 that 17 year olds would be outright barred from participating in the 2016 primaries. The rationale for the decision was based on an interpretation of the law in which 17 year olds could "nominate" officials for office, but not "elect". In the case of the presidential primaries, by definition, voters would be electing officials - delegates to each party's presidential nominating convention. The decision was met with criticism by the public, after it was brought to mainstream attention by Representative Kathleen Clyde, after she condemned the rule in a statement released on March 5. Clyde described it as a "underhanded, backroom attack" against young voters. Nine teenagers filed a lawsuit with the Ohio Courts of Common Pleas in Franklin County over the decision, stating that the decision contradicted state law and a decision by the Supreme Court of the United States that allowed 17 year olds turning 18 by the general election to vote.
Bernie Sanders' campaign, whose voter base includes the majority of young voters, also filed a lawsuit against the decision, accusing Husted of "arbitrarily" and "unconsititutionally" discriminating against young African-American and Latino voters, citing data from the 2010 United States Census that shows younger voters in Ohio were mostly African-American and Latino. Husted, in response to Sanders' lawsuit, said in a public statement that he welcomed the lawsuit, further stating that "I am very happy to be sued on this issue because the law is crystal clear", though, he later spoke out negatively against the lawsuit, claiming that it was a "a last-minute political act", designed to "draw attention to his campaign." Many Ohio officials, past and present, such as former Ohio Secretary of State Jennifer Brunner, came out in support of Sanders' lawsuit, and had attracted protests by not only Bernie Sanders supporters, but also Donald Trump supporters as well. In a decision handed down on March 11, an Ohio state judge ruled in favour of both lawsuits by the teenage group and the Sanders campaign, effectively lifting the ban on 17 year olds from voting in the Ohio presidential primaries. Husted initially announced that he would appeal the ruling, however, after learning that such an appeal wouldn't be heard by the court until the day before the primaries, he retracted his intent to appeal.
Forums[edit | edit source]
March 13, 2016 – Columbus, Ohio
March 14, 2016 – Columbus, Ohio and Springfield, Illinois
The tenth forum was held at 6:00 pm EDT on March 14, 2016, at the campus of Ohio State University in Columbus, Ohio, and at the Old State Capitol State Historic Site (Illinois) in Springfield, Illinois. It aired on MSNBC. The first section of the town hall with Bernie Sanders was moderated by Chuck Todd; the second section of the town hall with Hillary Clinton was moderated by Chris Matthews.
Results[edit | edit source]
Green state convention[edit | edit source]
The Green Party of Ohio participated in the March 15 primaries in Ohio, though they did not hold their presidential primary during the event. Instead, delegates to the Green National Convention were awarded based on presidential preference through a nominating convention in Columbus on April 3. Members of the Green Party of Ohio were able to vote in the convention.
|Ohio Green Party presidential convention, April 3, 2016|
Polling[edit | edit source]
Republican National Convention[edit | edit source]
General election[edit | edit source]
Predictions[edit | edit source]
The following are final 2016 predictions from various organizations for Ohio as of Election Day.
- Los Angeles Times: Leans Clinton
- CNN: Leans Trump
- Sabato's Crystal Ball: Leans Trump
- NBC: Tossup
- Electoral-vote.com: Leans Trump
- RealClearPolitics: Tossup
- Fox News: Leans Trump
- ABC: Leans Trump
Results[edit | edit source]
Official state results from the Ohio Secretary of State are as follows
|United States presidential election in Ohio, 2016|
|Party||Candidate||Running Mate||Votes||Percentage||Electoral votes|
|Republican||Donald Trump||Mike Pence||2,841,005||51.69%||18|
|Democratic||Hillary Clinton||Tim Kaine||2,394,164||43.56%||0|
|Libertarian||Gary Johnson||William Weld||174,498||3.17%||0|
|Green||Jill Stein||Ajamu Baraka||46,271||0.84%||0|
|Independent||Richard Duncan||Ricky Johnson||24,235||0.44%||0|
By county[edit | edit source]
Flipped counties[edit | edit source]
Trump won 80 of Ohio's 88 counties, the most since Ronald Reagan won 82 in 1984. He won nine counties that had voted for the Democratic candidate, Barack Obama, in 2012:
- Ashtabula (largest city: Ashtabula)
- Erie (largest city: Sandusky)
- Montgomery (largest city: Dayton)
- Ottawa (largest city: Port Clinton)
- Portage (largest city: Kent)
- Sandusky (largest city: Fremont)
- Stark (largest city: Canton)
- Trumbull (largest city: Warren)
- Wood (largest city: Bowling Green)
See also[edit | edit source]
- Democratic Party presidential debates, 2016
- Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016
- Republican Party presidential debates, 2016
- Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016
References[edit | edit source]
- https://www.sos.state.oh.us/SOS/elections/Research/electResultsMain/2016Results.aspx Compared to 2012 election https://www.sos.state.oh.us/elections/election-results-and-data/2012-elections-results/
- 2016 Official Election Results by County (XLSX). Ohio Secretary of State.
- "Who's Winning the Presidential Delegate Count?". Bloomberg. Bloomberg L.P. March 12, 2016. Archived from the original on March 12, 2016. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Tani, Maxwell (February 28, 2016). "It's now clear that Hillary Clinton's 'firewall' strategy is alive and well". Business Insider. Axel Springer SE. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Dowling, Brian (6 March 2016). "Hillary Clinton still strong in South, while Bernie Sanders stays alive". Boston Herald. Herald Media, Inc. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Bump, Philip (March 8, 2016). "Hillary Clinton’s stunningly large win in Mississippi". The Washington Post. Nash Holdings LLC. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Riddell, Kelly (March 5, 2016). "Bernie Sanders’ campaign gets needed boost with Kansas, Nebraska wins". The Washington Times. Operations Holdings (The Washington Times, LLC). Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Nelson, Colleen McCain; Nicholas, Peter; Meckler, Laura (9 March 2016). "Bernie Sanders Scores Upset in Michigan Democratic Primary". The Wall Street Journal. News Corp. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Roberts, Dan; Jacobs, Ben; Gambino, Lauren (March 10, 2016). "Bernie Sanders beats Hillary Clinton in stunning Michigan primary upset". The Guardian. Guardian Media Group. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Roberts, Dan; Gambino, Lauren (March 10, 2016). "Sanders optimistic for more midwest upsets after shock Michigan win". The Guardian. Guardian Media Group. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Meckler, Laura; Nicholas, Peter (March 3, 2016). "Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton Spar Over Trade in Midwest". The Wall Street Journal. News Corp. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Davis, Owen (March 7, 2016). "Free Trade And Flint: What Sanders And Clinton Got Right And Wrong On Nafta". International Business Times. IBT Media. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- "Primaries - Where Can 17-Year-Olds Vote in Presidential Primaries or Caucuses?". FairVote. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Perkins, William T. (March 5, 2016). "17-year-olds shut out of presidential primary". The Columbus Dispatch. New Media Investment Group. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Naymik, Mark (March 8, 2016). "Ohio 17-year-olds' presidential picks in Tuesday's primary won't count but pressure building to change the rule". Cleveland.com (The Plain Dealer). Advance Publications / Newhouse Newspapers. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- O'Brien, Brendan (March 8, 2016). "Ohio 17-year-olds sue state for right to vote in primary". Reuters. Thomson Reuters. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Heller, Nathan (August 25, 2015). "Feeling the Bern With the Youth Vote". The New Yorker. Advance Publications. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Silver, Nate (February 8, 2016). "Why Young Democrats Love Bernie Sanders". FiveThirtyEight. ESPN Inc. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Alcindor, Yamiche (March 8, 2016). "Bernie Sanders Sues Over Ohio Rule Barring 17-Year-Olds From Primary". The New York Times. The New York Times Company. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Morice, Jane (March 8, 2016). "Bernie Sanders' campaign files young voters lawsuit against Ohio Secretary of State Jon Husted". Cleveland.com (The Plain Dealer). Advance Publications / Newhouse Newspapers. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Gaudiano, Nicole (March 11, 2016). "Ohio official calls Bernie Sanders' lawsuit a 'political act'". USA Today. Gannett Company. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Larson, Erik (March 12, 2016). "Sanders Preparing for Battle Over Ohio’s 17-Year-Old Voters". Bloomberg. Bloomberg L.P. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Atkin, Emily (March 11, 2016). "Meet The Young Donald Trump Supporters Who Drove 100 Miles To Protest With Bernie Sanders Supporters". ThinkProgress. Center for American Progress. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Atkinson, Khorri (March 12, 2016). "Sanders campaign praises Ohio ruling that allows 17-year-olds to vote". MSNBC. NBCUniversal. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- Palmer, Kim (March 11, 2016). "17-Year-Olds Should Be Allowed To Vote In Ohio Primary, Judge Rules". The Huffington Post. AOL. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- LoBianco, Tom (March 12, 2016). "In victory for Sanders, Ohio judge says 17-year-olds can vote in primary". CNN. Turner Broadcasting System (Time Warner). Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- "CNN, TV One to host presidential town hall". CNN. March 13, 2016. Retrieved March 13, 2016.
- The Columbus Dispatch staff (14 March 2016). "Here are the 14 presidential candidates on Ohio primary ballots". The Columbus Dispatch. New Media Investment Group. Retrieved 17 March 2016.
- "Ohio Green Party Announces 2016 candidates and Presidential Nominating Convention date". Ohio Green Party. 2016-01-05. Retrieved 2016-02-20.
- "Ohio Green Party Presidential Nominating Convention (Columbus)". Ohio Green Party. 2016-01-05. Retrieved 2016-02-20.
- "Stein wins Ohio Green Party convention vote". Green Party Watch. 3 April 2016. Retrieved 3 April 2016.
- "Our final map has Clinton winning with 352 electoral votes. Compare your picks with ours.". Los Angeles Times. 2016-11-06. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Road to 270: CNN's general election map - CNNPolitics.com". Cnn.com. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball » 2016 President". Centerforpolitics.org. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- Todd, Chuck. "NBC's Final Battleground Map Shows Clinton With a Significant Lead". NBC News. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "ElectoralVote". ElectoralVote. 2000-12-31. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "2016 Election Maps - Battle for White House". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Electoral Scorecard: Map shifts again in Trump's favor, as Clinton holds edge". Fox News. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "The Final 15: The Latest Polls in the Swing States That Will Decide the Election". Abcnews.go.com. 2016-11-07. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
- "Ohio Decides - Election Night Reporting". Vote.ohio.gov. 2016-11-08. Retrieved 2016-11-13.
[edit | edit source]
- RNC 2016 Republican Nominating Process
- Green papers for 2016 primaries, caucuses, and conventions
- 2016 Presidential primaries, ElectionProjection.com
- Decision Desk Headquarter Results for Ohio
- Primary Election Results, Ohio Secretary of State